@AlexCimmeria

#3,073,0889

0x21c7435f543b763dd65a594a08928bc80d81191a

~190d· 211 markets · 6142 tradesVol: $1,968,5032026-08-05 18:21:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (65/185)2.6/20
0.47x (win $66,718 / loss $142,486)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1580/15
Sortino -2.2830/10
$-0.2287 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1571 (185 markets)4.6/10
35/93 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 1727% of peak ($80,424 / $4,656)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Whale
$331,252 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,790$-38,360Vol: $1,801,866
SPORTS#1,878,649$-10,998Vol: $79,370
🎭 CULTURE#3,808$1,503Vol: $48,193
CRYPTO#1,542,943$-217Vol: $21,144
📈 ECONOMICS#2,038$1,909Vol: $14,578
💰 FINANCE#10,125$277Vol: $1,640
📢 MENTIONS#1,416$876Vol: $1,200
💻 TECH#249,582$-100Vol: $511

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-45,109
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,968,503
Total Redeem
$14,400
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
211
total markets
Trades
5570B / 572S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~190d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,044
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,504
Vol: $1,500
All Time
$-45,109
Vol: $1,968,503

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
65W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-45,109
Win Rate
35%
65W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$1,026
Avg Loss
$-1,197

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,764 (0.7706504956278564% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$19,163
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$9,944
US military action against Iran before July?$5,656
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5,235
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3,744
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2,290
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?$1,972
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1,852
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,852
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1,296

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-45,876
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-27,283
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-11,890
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-9,007
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-2,496
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$-2,383
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?$-2,332
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-2,321
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-2,028
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?$-2,007

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.097
HHI
1568
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.202
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.6%
Top-5 markets
70.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.4m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 7.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.4%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)8.9%

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 3:16:20 PM11 trades$46,9650 min
4/7/2026, 10:56:13 PM70 trades$34,96913 min
5/26/2026, 2:39:05 AM45 trades$33,7020 min
4/4/2026, 1:08:13 AM17 trades$25,2041 min
4/5/2026, 10:17:33 AM2 trades$23,9520 min
4/12/2026, 8:36:59 PM6 trades$15,7320 min
3/28/2026, 1:04:47 AM1 trades$13,7590 min
3/29/2026, 2:06:56 AM15 trades$13,47916 min
6/29/2026, 12:59:17 PM4 trades$12,5162 min
4/7/2026, 9:39:03 PM10 trades$12,0002 min
3/30/2026, 2:56:26 AM3 trades$9,7134 min
4/23/2026, 10:37:26 PM2 trades$9,6720 min
7/2/2026, 5:10:01 AM3 trades$9,1843 min
6/21/2025, 6:41:10 PM5 trades$8,8516 min
3/30/2026, 8:32:08 AM3 trades$8,4394 min
4/2/2026, 5:22:29 PM16 trades$8,4260 min
6/1/2026, 8:17:32 AM1 trades$8,3040 min
6/29/2026, 3:27:46 AM1 trades$8,2740 min
4/14/2026, 12:16:41 AM6 trades$7,7088 min
4/4/2026, 11:00:33 AM3 trades$7,5890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
09-08
12-26
01-19
02-08
03-28
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 383 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.4 / M8.7 / H8.9