AlexDemchik

@AlexDemchik

#2,699,38832

0xb7cdd8d8a385320a2422065bf53935c3e148e71a

~93d· 317 markets · 570 tradesVol: $32,333 @Alexs1997trai2026-08-05 03:28:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (208/316)17.9/20
0.95x (win $580 / loss $607)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2950/15
Sortino -0.3570/10
$-0.0027 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1865 (316 markets)3.2/10
42/65 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($165 / $137)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Consistent
42/65 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,487,166$-113Vol: $24,290
📢 MENTIONS#109,465$-4Vol: $4,000
SPORTS#1,579,104$-46Vol: $1,662
🎭 CULTURE#85,947$6Vol: $919
🏛️ POLITICS#1,471,379$-52Vol: $565
📈 ECONOMICS#44,849$9Vol: $345
💰 FINANCE#86,741$4Vol: $49

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-192
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,333
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
317
total markets
Trades
436B / 134S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-192
Vol: $32,333

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
208W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$-192
Win Rate
66%
208W / 108L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $185 (0.9609997396511325% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$93
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$38
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$21
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?$20
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?$18
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?$14
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?$12
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$9

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-165
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$-49
Golden Knights vs. Lightning$-27
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?$-26
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$-13
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?$-8
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-5
Navy vs. Memphis$-5
Chiefs vs. Cowboys$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.015
Sortino
-0.012
HHI
1315
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.6%
Top-5 markets
54.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)84.4%

Sessions

#12
12/24/2025, 5:40:13 PM5 trades$5927 min
12/26/2025, 11:12:59 AM5 trades$4425 min
12/30/2025, 8:39:45 PM3 trades$4245 min
12/29/2025, 9:19:15 PM4 trades$3641 min
1/4/2026, 9:46:31 AM2 trades$3514 min
1/10/2026, 3:56:40 PM2 trades$3442 min
1/10/2026, 3:51:04 PM1 trades$3300 min
12/24/2025, 10:46:03 PM2 trades$3163 min
1/5/2026, 10:58:53 AM1 trades$3140 min
12/24/2025, 10:36:01 PM2 trades$3123 min
1/14/2026, 5:49:18 PM1 trades$3020 min
12/30/2025, 10:42:19 PM1 trades$2960 min
12/30/2025, 5:33:47 PM1 trades$2850 min
1/4/2026, 7:52:01 AM1 trades$2720 min
1/3/2026, 1:29:29 PM1 trades$2700 min
12/26/2025, 5:49:09 PM1 trades$2600 min
12/25/2025, 3:19:51 PM1 trades$2520 min
12/25/2025, 1:11:01 PM1 trades$2490 min
11/25/2025, 2:14:03 PM2 trades$2473 min
12/24/2025, 10:59:37 PM2 trades$2472 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-07
10-22
11-15
11-28
12-16
02-09
05-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M10.6 / H84.4