@Allcap
#2,713,579400xe9b3ddcaf6fe4d04f937f16df009284e8094cfd0
~68d· 43 markets · 908 tradesVol: $17,4722026-08-04 18:55:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (7/29)0/20
1.16x (win $854 / loss $734)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.78414.7/15
Sortino 1.71910/10
$+0.0624 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 961 (29 markets)7.7/10
5/22 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($421 / $541)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,563,149$-203Vol: $17,337
🎭 CULTURE#614,189$-3Vol: $104
📈 ECONOMICS#83,044$2Vol: $31
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-204
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,472
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
528B / 380S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d
Periods
#2Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$26
Vol: $2
Month
$20
Vol: $2
All Time
$-204
Vol: $17,472
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
7W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-204
Win Rate
24%
7W / 22L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-33
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $743 (3.6434560878732896% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$386
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$277
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$79
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$57
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$38
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?$15
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-155
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$-148
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-97
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$-51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $-43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$-24
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$-24
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$-23
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$-21
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.040
Sortino
0.095
HHI
457
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
42%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 499s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.6%
Mid (20-55c)33.5%
High (>55c)8.9%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 9:57:34 PM42 trades$57013 min
6/4/2026, 5:54:25 PM9 trades$2651 min
5/24/2026, 9:42:16 PM5 trades$2420 min
4/4/2026, 6:23:45 PM14 trades$16412 min
5/30/2026, 9:36:57 AM12 trades$1524 min
6/10/2026, 9:07:52 PM13 trades$1521 min
5/28/2026, 5:10:38 PM10 trades$1443 min
5/26/2026, 9:25:59 PM2 trades$1400 min
5/21/2026, 4:18:28 PM10 trades$1361 min
5/27/2026, 10:06:27 PM4 trades$1330 min
6/10/2026, 11:20:22 PM11 trades$1253 min
5/11/2026, 9:20:18 PM31 trades$12313 min
6/3/2026, 6:06:56 AM6 trades$1201 min
5/23/2026, 2:27:07 PM9 trades$1172 min
6/29/2026, 10:39:35 AM5 trades$1151 min
6/4/2026, 8:18:54 PM30 trades$10914 min
5/21/2026, 4:12:31 PM6 trades$1080 min
5/22/2026, 11:27:56 PM6 trades$952 min
6/18/2026, 4:42:26 PM11 trades$946 min
5/21/2026, 5:49:21 AM3 trades$920 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
03-10
05-19
05-24
05-31
06-05
06-17
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.6 / M33.5 / H8.9