@AlligatorMarket

#24,62251

0x00093a689df7fb09a137f9db7102d9e967c85497

~85d· 3029 markets · 16495 tradesVol: $808,1982026-08-04 15:06:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (1319/3024)6.8/20
1.06x (win $105,114 / loss $98,722)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.63615/15
Sortino 2.69110/10
$+0.0423 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 19 (3024 markets)10/10
40/85 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($4,938 / $6,714)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+5,084
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$151,087 invested
High Roller
$1,717/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#8,887$5,203Vol: $808,088

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,170
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$808,198
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3029
total markets
Trades
7280B / 9215S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$170
Vol: $3,345
Week
$-74
Vol: $16,791
Month
$603
Vol: $23,596
All Time
$5,170
Vol: $808,198

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
1319W / 1705L events
Realized PnL
$5,084
Win Rate
44%
1319W / 1705L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,756 (0.7388155267614943% of PnL)

Top Winners

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$1,299
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5$1,266
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5$1,191
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$1,172
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus$1,061
ITF Blois: Francesca Curmi vs Ipek Oz$1,061
ITF Tauste: Anna Kubareva vs Elena Milovanovic$1,031
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$1,009
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$976
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$936

Top Losers

Argentina leading at halftime?$-1,285
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-1,216
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$-669
Spread: Japan (-2.5)$-617
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$-601
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5$-592
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topo$-547
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$-546
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?$-545
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?$-534

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.085
Sortino
0.121
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
187.4
Very active
Markets / Day
34.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock187 trades/day — automation34 markets/day — mass coverage44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)47.3%
High (>55c)42.5%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 4:05:53 PM21 trades$10,4595 min
6/22/2026, 5:02:07 PM43 trades$5,2718 min
6/22/2026, 1:04:41 AM56 trades$5,27017 min
6/21/2026, 4:04:17 AM55 trades$5,03019 min
6/20/2026, 8:07:37 PM104 trades$4,86433 min
6/21/2026, 12:03:40 AM88 trades$4,10229 min
6/24/2026, 7:05:53 PM120 trades$4,04727 min
6/24/2026, 2:04:22 AM85 trades$3,78221 min
6/15/2026, 4:01:57 PM92 trades$3,52524 min
6/21/2026, 10:05:16 PM61 trades$3,42623 min
6/24/2026, 10:06:11 PM107 trades$3,3875 min
6/22/2026, 9:07:29 PM85 trades$3,35416 min
6/16/2026, 3:37:20 PM33 trades$2,83515 min
6/20/2026, 12:36:35 AM72 trades$2,30727 min
6/17/2026, 5:32:53 AM22 trades$2,1538 min
6/23/2026, 3:28:35 AM44 trades$2,12617 min
6/15/2026, 8:28:33 PM14 trades$2,1076 min
6/21/2026, 5:36:10 AM17 trades$2,0739 min
7/6/2026, 7:09:16 PM14 trades$1,9894 min
6/23/2026, 1:04:19 AM51 trades$1,95921 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-08
05-24
06-07
06-21
07-06
07-20
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M47.3 / H42.5