@AlphaSamurai2016

#2,439,64760

0x98bb9b9511be4998fdb06586d4213703e8280e3d

~146d· 256 markets · 2837 tradesVol: $152,2192026-08-06 06:54:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (37/168)0/20
4.80x (win $538 / loss $112)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.43415/15
Sortino 38.42010/10
$+0.0041 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 118 (168 markets)10/10
26/86 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($79 / $426)10/10

Badges

3
Whale
$103,704 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,615,493$-59Vol: $94,443
🏛️ POLITICS#181,873$8Vol: $32,990
🎭 CULTURE#648,198$-5Vol: $8,229
CRYPTO#1,034,079$-5Vol: $7,456
📈 ECONOMICS#563,760$-5Vol: $7,218
💰 FINANCE#489,139$-2Vol: $1,410
💻 TECH#179,034$-1Vol: $473

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-67
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,219
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
256
total markets
Trades
1342B / 1495S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-67
Vol: $152,219

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
37W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$-67
Win Rate
22%
37W / 131L
Profit Factor
4.8x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (3.142087138793232% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$55
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$50
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14

Top Losers

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-8
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.283
Sortino
2.119
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
6.2%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6576s — normal for humanCV 0.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)84.1%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 10:31:48 AM5 trades$3350 min
3/8/2026, 4:47:41 PM2 trades$3250 min
3/9/2026, 7:01:29 AM2 trades$3230 min
3/12/2026, 2:16:07 AM2 trades$3220 min
4/21/2026, 9:35:38 PM5 trades$3180 min
4/18/2026, 8:36:14 PM6 trades$3050 min
3/28/2026, 9:14:51 AM2 trades$2980 min
3/25/2026, 6:55:31 AM2 trades$2970 min
4/3/2026, 7:58:31 PM8 trades$2890 min
4/2/2026, 9:02:41 AM2 trades$2860 min
4/2/2026, 4:36:19 PM4 trades$2850 min
4/2/2026, 3:25:07 AM5 trades$2850 min
4/5/2026, 8:20:35 PM4 trades$2810 min
4/6/2026, 8:53:05 AM3 trades$2800 min
4/2/2026, 5:18:33 AM6 trades$2750 min
4/7/2026, 4:52:59 AM3 trades$2750 min
4/10/2026, 1:34:31 PM4 trades$2690 min
4/10/2026, 6:33:35 PM2 trades$2680 min
4/10/2026, 7:58:57 PM3 trades$2680 min
4/11/2026, 4:32:03 AM7 trades$2670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
02-16
03-15
04-02
04-23
05-13
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M0 / H84.1