@Arcgerrr

#1,669,36358

0xb398b613d8f1d1c9bdc3aee62eac1755d2c34b51

~29d· 28 markets · 85 tradesVol: $5,8842026-08-05 00:40:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (14/24)14.2/20
1.68x (win $22 / loss $13)11/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.69515/15
Sortino 6.33010/10
$+0.0018 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 2804 (24 markets)0/10
12/20 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($10 / $9)0/10

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#946,311$-1Vol: $3,832
🏛️ POLITICS#392,296$0Vol: $1,964
🎭 CULTURE#406,626$-0Vol: $24
₿ CRYPTO#1,016,987$-4Vol: $20
💰 FINANCE#531,970$-4Vol: $11
📈 ECONOMICS#497,781$-1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,884
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
51B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6
Vol: $5,884

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
14W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-6
Win Rate
58%
14W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (2.6616666666666666% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will Team Falcons win Dota 2: PGL Wallachia 2024?$4
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One before July?$2
Grizzlies vs. Magic$2
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1
Bitcoin and Ethereum Up on July 9?$0
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?$0
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 2?$0
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$0

Top Losers

MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?$-5
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$-3
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?$-1
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?$-1
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $125 (HIGH) by end of February?$-1
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-1
Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?$-1
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-1
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.138
Sortino
0.309
HHI
1892
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.5%
Top-5 markets
74.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
22s
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
66% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 7:46:10 AM8 trades$9911 min
5/6/2026, 1:18:38 PM8 trades$9112 min
7/27/2026, 5:15:30 AM8 trades$8831 min
11/28/2024, 7:08:19 AM4 trades$6672 min
7/18/2026, 7:06:06 AM4 trades$4910 min
5/10/2026, 9:24:18 AM4 trades$4310 min
3/25/2026, 8:05:23 AM3 trades$3980 min
7/28/2026, 11:38:41 AM4 trades$3951 min
11/30/2024, 10:14:00 AM2 trades$2212 min
3/28/2026, 5:23:29 AM1 trades$1340 min
8/4/2024, 12:20:21 PM2 trades$1131 min
7/27/2024, 6:14:01 AM1 trades$1130 min
10/9/2024, 1:00:21 AM4 trades$192 min
5/19/2025, 6:57:21 AM3 trades$90 min
11/10/2024, 9:22:28 AM3 trades$90 min
9/2/2025, 6:17:07 AM3 trades$80 min
10/29/2024, 5:38:32 AM1 trades$60 min
1/22/2025, 12:51:29 AM1 trades$50 min
5/30/2025, 7:27:46 AM3 trades$50 min
10/16/2025, 7:07:25 AM3 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-04
11-28
02-21
07-09
10-16
12-24
05-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 210 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100