@ArchieHicox
#157,251400x1a40109e7f7c6964d9b7b9379f5bc7960302d239
~26d· 74 markets · 340 tradesVol: $130,9772026-08-05 16:37:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
99% (72/73)20/20
0.84x (win $152 / loss $182)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6200/15
Sortino -0.6380/10
$-0.0013 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 311 (73 markets)10/10
25/26 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 425% of peak ($175 / $41)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+254
Consistent
25/26 profitable days
Win Streak
43 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#4,243$254Vol: $130,977
Overview
#1Net PnL
$254
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$130,977
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
242B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Today
$20
Vol: $1,139
Week
$37
Vol: $8,807
Month
$88
Vol: $11,797
All Time
$254
Vol: $130,977
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
99%
71W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$254
Win Rate
99%
71W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-182
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.13382445635045698% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 8?$13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?$11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 21?$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 8?$7
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?$6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$6
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 20?$6
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?$5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 31?$5
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5?$3
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?$-182
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-1144.231
HHI
315
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
29.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 613s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#127/11/2026, 7:11:49 PM2 trades$2,0010 min
7/20/2026, 11:06:03 AM2 trades$1,9582 min
7/11/2026, 3:09:37 PM2 trades$1,1582 min
7/11/2026, 2:53:38 PM2 trades$1,1411 min
7/8/2026, 8:35:28 PM18 trades$68812 min
7/21/2026, 10:14:54 PM4 trades$3960 min
7/20/2026, 1:33:30 PM10 trades$3353 min
8/5/2026, 8:38:53 AM20 trades$3121 min
7/31/2026, 7:37:06 AM10 trades$3000 min
7/11/2026, 7:31:46 AM4 trades$2993 min
7/28/2026, 3:05:56 PM3 trades$2991 min
7/31/2026, 10:05:15 AM3 trades$2993 min
8/1/2026, 12:36:21 AM2 trades$2991 min
7/9/2026, 4:03:23 PM3 trades$2941 min
7/23/2026, 4:23:18 PM11 trades$2657 min
7/9/2026, 7:33:02 AM3 trades$2610 min
7/13/2026, 10:12:46 PM6 trades$2510 min
7/16/2026, 5:15:41 PM6 trades$2431 min
7/13/2026, 4:24:31 PM2 trades$2394 min
7/9/2026, 11:38:20 PM4 trades$2185 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
07-03
07-10
07-14
07-21
07-28
08-01
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100