@Arneboy

#110,29029

0xe121dc18df96c130b8cfdcbe6a184e24bece30b9

~15d· 30 markets · 255 tradesVol: $15,8252026-08-03 16:51:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (17/30)13.3/20
0.85x (win $1,036 / loss $1,213)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8820/15
Sortino -2.3660/10
$-0.0620 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 738 (30 markets)8.8/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 177% of peak ($406 / $229)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+555
DCA Master
Avg 8.5 entries/market

Categories

1
SPORTS#53,821$555Vol: $15,825

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$555
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,825
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
90B / 165S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Month
$-3
Vol: $4,462
All Time
$555
Vol: $15,825

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
17W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$555
Win Rate
57%
17W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-93

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $490 (0.8838424799495358% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: France (-2.5)$228
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-31?$142
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-25?$121
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?$115
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$102
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5$70
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$60
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$37
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5$36
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02?$34

Top Losers

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5$-293
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-08-02?$-244
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02?$-215
Will SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw?$-100
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK end in a draw?$-79
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$-70
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-60
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29?$-45
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-40
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.116
HHI
561
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
39.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)67.8%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 3:16:20 PM35 trades$1,65811 min
5/25/2026, 4:15:18 PM4 trades$6134 min
8/2/2026, 6:34:35 PM20 trades$4646 min
6/17/2026, 9:41:37 PM5 trades$3531 min
8/2/2026, 5:29:42 PM12 trades$3292 min
5/25/2026, 3:27:47 PM6 trades$2904 min
8/2/2026, 5:45:24 PM11 trades$2362 min
8/2/2026, 6:51:27 PM6 trades$2260 min
6/29/2026, 8:32:44 PM6 trades$2260 min
8/2/2026, 6:46:14 PM8 trades$2050 min
8/2/2026, 3:09:51 PM11 trades$2050 min
6/24/2026, 10:15:22 PM2 trades$1800 min
6/26/2026, 7:47:46 PM2 trades$1720 min
6/27/2026, 10:54:16 PM2 trades$1590 min
6/29/2026, 6:58:02 PM2 trades$1570 min
6/26/2026, 6:30:50 PM3 trades$1540 min
6/17/2026, 9:13:25 PM2 trades$1490 min
6/26/2026, 11:39:37 PM2 trades$1410 min
5/25/2026, 3:15:10 PM17 trades$1400 min
6/24/2026, 11:49:11 PM3 trades$1360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
06-13
06-19
06-24
06-26
06-29
07-26
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M24.4 / H67.8