Arrth

@Arrth

#119,87458

0xeafc121933b120f5401668b06a4072e1f788a390

~22d· 79 markets · 970 tradesVol: $28,8632026-08-05 17:29:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (22/39)13.2/20
1.13x (win $2,475 / loss $2,197)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.14115/15
Sortino 1.79810/10
$+0.0256 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 426 (39 markets)10/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 88% of peak ($873 / $993)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+465
DCA Master
Avg 21.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#9,743$295Vol: $13,942
🏛️ POLITICS#39,703$249Vol: $10,483
💻 TECH#9,773$38Vol: $2,117
CRYPTO#117,484$62Vol: $1,947
SPORTS#1,727,961$-171Vol: $285
📈 ECONOMICS#583,076$-7Vol: $88

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$465
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,863
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
632B / 338S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $0
Month
$-40
Vol: $0
All Time
$465
Vol: $28,863

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
22W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$465
Win Rate
56%
22W / 17L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$112
Avg Loss
$-129

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,633 (3.510142685232938% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$907
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$532
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$195
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$159
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$129
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$125
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$70
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$55
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?$46

Top Losers

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-604
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-340
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-329
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-161
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-139
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$-84
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $-73
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by July 31?$-73

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.073
HHI
335
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
31.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.5m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 189s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)67.2%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 6:01:20 AM19 trades$9464 min
6/22/2026, 11:04:37 PM14 trades$5374 min
6/17/2026, 3:46:01 AM24 trades$42910 min
6/26/2026, 1:37:58 AM10 trades$4220 min
6/18/2026, 8:15:04 PM15 trades$42110 min
6/17/2026, 11:18:37 AM25 trades$40012 min
6/17/2026, 7:51:43 AM19 trades$3566 min
6/16/2026, 9:31:04 AM21 trades$3395 min
7/1/2026, 10:53:25 AM8 trades$3362 min
6/17/2026, 2:31:37 PM18 trades$33112 min
6/16/2026, 8:50:06 AM8 trades$2994 min
6/16/2026, 12:12:10 PM25 trades$29730 min
6/17/2026, 10:35:23 AM36 trades$27311 min
6/20/2026, 11:08:29 AM6 trades$2674 min
6/25/2026, 3:22:05 AM10 trades$2651 min
6/21/2026, 1:16:43 AM3 trades$2593 min
6/19/2026, 9:38:05 PM5 trades$2461 min
6/17/2026, 9:44:31 AM4 trades$2260 min
6/19/2026, 1:51:32 PM6 trades$2235 min
6/17/2026, 5:37:20 PM8 trades$2173 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-18
06-21
06-27
07-01
07-03
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M22.8 / H67.2