@Ashburner

#685,72124

0x4b742afebc538d624a2b239280181fc96130bd87

~8d· 11 markets · 49 tradesVol: $14,7382026-08-05 16:37:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (3/5)15/20
0.23x (win $137 / loss $589)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0698 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2175 (5 markets)1.6/10
3/5 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 707% of peak ($589 / $83)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+1

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#304,249$1Vol: $14,738

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,738
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
31B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
3W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
60%
3W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-294

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $137 (98.18571428571428% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$54
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?$44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$39

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$-355
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$-233

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.472
Sortino
-1.045
HHI
298
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.203
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
34.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
53.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3197s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.6
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)71%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 10:53:25 AM3 trades$9870 min
7/16/2026, 11:53:02 AM3 trades$9550 min
6/24/2026, 6:57:59 AM5 trades$9491 min
6/24/2026, 3:46:16 AM3 trades$9480 min
6/28/2026, 1:57:11 AM2 trades$4670 min
7/8/2026, 7:52:05 AM2 trades$4600 min
7/9/2026, 7:08:28 AM2 trades$4600 min
7/8/2026, 9:01:11 AM3 trades$4510 min
7/9/2026, 8:17:40 AM1 trades$4320 min
6/28/2026, 2:38:37 AM1 trades$4290 min
7/24/2026, 2:47:37 AM2 trades$4230 min
7/24/2026, 3:19:58 AM1 trades$3900 min
7/24/2026, 5:25:40 AM1 trades$3900 min
7/24/2026, 1:55:54 AM1 trades$3890 min
6/16/2026, 5:24:28 AM2 trades$2800 min
6/16/2026, 2:43:57 AM2 trades$2780 min
6/15/2026, 8:06:58 AM2 trades$2770 min
6/15/2026, 9:00:15 AM1 trades$2640 min
6/16/2026, 4:24:21 AM1 trades$2640 min
6/16/2026, 6:58:30 AM1 trades$2630 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-16
06-24
07-16
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29 / M0 / H71