Asp7

@Asp7

#305,02271

0xa7da3a9d9f9b3fa1ea2ed366e3ec4b2d1a4f2e69

~19d· 20 markets · 469 tradesVol: $74,9752026-08-05 02:23:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (8/19)6.1/20
3.62x (win $23,922 / loss $6,600)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.99715/15
Sortino 24.07710/10
$+0.8115 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2048 (19 markets)2.3/10
7/15 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($6,370 / $23,692)8.6/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+55
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 27%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#61,520$108Vol: $64,722
📈 ECONOMICS#650,404$-56Vol: $8,593
🌤️ WEATHER#265,409$-25Vol: $1,178
💰 FINANCE#521,193$-3Vol: $269
SPORTS#189,615$36Vol: $202
CRYPTO#1,042,239$-5Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$55
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,975
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
105B / 364S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$55
Vol: $74,975

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
8W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$55
Win Rate
42%
8W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.62x
Avg Win
$2,990
Avg Loss
$-600

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,208 (424.96996887017036% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$21,505
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1,344
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$359
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $357
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$263
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on June 24?$0

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-3,081
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,215
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-940
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-894
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$-257
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-138
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?$-20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 22?$-20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.202
Sortino
1.114
HHI
7766
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.482
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
79.8%
Top-5 markets
143%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 255s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule17 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)57.1%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 7:36:46 AM10 trades$7,6341 min
6/14/2026, 9:47:24 PM5 trades$4,8143 min
6/19/2026, 10:59:37 PM3 trades$3,9220 min
6/26/2026, 9:23:25 PM22 trades$3,2840 min
6/24/2026, 9:50:04 PM9 trades$2,8750 min
6/26/2026, 10:21:13 PM6 trades$2,5481 min
6/16/2026, 1:46:31 PM2 trades$2,3070 min
6/11/2026, 10:27:00 PM9 trades$2,2946 min
6/17/2026, 10:43:23 PM14 trades$2,2493 min
6/15/2026, 9:42:12 PM4 trades$2,1930 min
6/21/2026, 11:09:17 AM16 trades$2,1131 min
6/13/2026, 3:26:10 PM4 trades$2,0530 min
6/14/2026, 4:09:12 PM4 trades$2,0520 min
6/20/2026, 5:57:52 PM6 trades$2,0250 min
6/15/2026, 4:29:27 AM6 trades$1,8270 min
6/15/2026, 9:56:30 PM4 trades$1,7230 min
6/17/2026, 3:10:44 PM30 trades$1,4158 min
6/19/2026, 10:25:50 PM8 trades$1,2910 min
6/13/2026, 3:19:18 PM10 trades$1,2710 min
6/21/2026, 8:01:52 AM8 trades$1,1980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-14
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-26
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
15.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.2 / M6.7 / H57.1