AugusA

@AugusA

#1,268,62114

0x48d7c0e4a85a280d1ea67be09a867b48c76d92ae

~19d· 86 markets · 222 tradesVol: $6552026-08-04 19:18:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (27/85)0.9/20
0.55x (win $1 / loss $2)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2850/15
Sortino -2.4250/10
$-0.0033 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 222 (85 markets)10/10
8/19 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 224% of peak ($2 / $1)0/10

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#183,885$0Vol: $117
🌤️ WEATHER#166,330$-0Vol: $111
🏛️ POLITICS#670,713$-0Vol: $104
📈 ECONOMICS#336,606$-0Vol: $93
🎭 CULTURE#517,726$-1Vol: $86
₿ CRYPTO#720,713$-0Vol: $82
⚽ SPORTS#679,214$-0Vol: $28
💻 TECH#145,975$-0Vol: $4
📢 MENTIONS#63,640$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$655
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
92B / 130S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $76
All Time
$-1
Vol: $655

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
27W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
32%
27W / 58L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.8160919540229885% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?$0
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$0
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0
Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026?$0
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be less than $5.5B at market close on IPO day?$0
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on May 14?$0

Top Losers

Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?$-2
Will DoorDash report less than 800 million total orders in Q4 2025?$-0
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?$-0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?$-0
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 14-15°F on January 27?$-0
Will Cam Davis win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?$-0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of January?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 16?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on March 26?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
226
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
20.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.6
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
1/28/2026, 4:18:51 AM25 trades$8218 min
5/13/2026, 4:51:34 PM22 trades$5916 min
8/28/2025, 4:11:11 PM40 trades$458 min
2/27/2026, 9:27:31 AM9 trades$439 min
3/2/2026, 9:10:25 AM4 trades$432 min
3/8/2026, 7:16:47 AM7 trades$428 min
6/22/2026, 9:22:58 AM15 trades$418 min
3/15/2026, 10:39:25 AM8 trades$304 min
11/30/2025, 4:08:18 PM25 trades$2812 min
10/31/2025, 10:06:39 AM19 trades$2714 min
3/30/2026, 9:16:16 AM3 trades$202 min
3/25/2026, 4:58:19 PM4 trades$203 min
3/30/2026, 9:40:04 AM3 trades$131 min
3/8/2026, 7:02:21 AM1 trades$100 min
8/1/2026, 4:30:51 PM4 trades$90 min
12/4/2025, 6:15:31 PM7 trades$74 min
3/30/2026, 9:31:50 AM1 trades$50 min
1/13/2025, 4:42:01 AM4 trades$43 min
1/5/2026, 3:43:59 PM5 trades$42 min
1/5/2026, 3:34:59 PM2 trades$32 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
10-31
12-31
01-28
03-08
03-30
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100