@Balmer83

#2,084,18684

0xdb5f346fe9277028cc6840de8082a95f68e282a3

~10d· 17 markets · 65 tradesVol: $15,9792026-08-04 18:13:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (10/13)20/20
1.89x (win $275 / loss $145)13.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.59115/15
Sortino 8.54110/10
$+0.0239 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 1101 (13 markets)7/10
6/8 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($74 / $201)6.6/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Consistent
6/8 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#384,706$0Vol: $11,132
SPORTS#1,465,372$-20Vol: $4,357
📈 ECONOMICS#396,970$-0Vol: $490

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,979
Total Redeem
$1,745
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
34B / 31S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $1,040
Month
$5
Vol: $1,040
All Time
$-20
Vol: $15,979

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
10W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-20
Win Rate
77%
10W / 3L
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $149 (7.418281172379534% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?$61
Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)$57
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)$32
Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)$30
Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)$28
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$19
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)$18
Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-2.5)$18
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$9
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?$4

Top Losers

Spread: FCSB (-2.5)$-71
Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)$-57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.274
Sortino
8.442
HHI
933
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.9%
Top-5 markets
57.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)64.7%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 4:32:03 AM2 trades$1,1381 min
5/18/2026, 5:26:19 AM7 trades$1,0715 min
7/3/2026, 2:27:52 AM3 trades$9630 min
4/27/2026, 6:40:56 AM4 trades$9603 min
5/11/2026, 7:33:27 AM11 trades$9406 min
4/24/2026, 9:02:04 AM6 trades$9373 min
5/15/2026, 3:52:31 AM2 trades$5900 min
4/27/2026, 5:48:22 AM2 trades$5020 min
4/24/2026, 8:22:04 AM2 trades$4550 min
4/10/2026, 6:54:51 AM2 trades$2740 min
4/10/2026, 8:02:33 AM2 trades$2730 min
4/10/2026, 7:37:41 AM1 trades$2650 min
4/9/2026, 6:38:29 AM2 trades$2640 min
4/9/2026, 2:56:45 AM2 trades$2580 min
4/8/2026, 7:13:03 AM2 trades$2490 min
4/9/2026, 6:31:21 AM1 trades$2490 min
4/8/2026, 3:10:07 AM2 trades$2450 min
4/8/2026, 4:24:53 AM2 trades$2402 min
6/8/2026, 7:32:42 AM4 trades$1243 min
7/3/2026, 1:57:07 AM2 trades$670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-09
04-10
04-24
04-27
05-11
05-15
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.3 / M0 / H64.7