BasedDept

@BasedDept

#2,561,26513

0x850eca0e61029183225b3e0b0d067cbaae86abca

~54d· 217 markets · 642 tradesVol: $8,7092026-08-05 16:39:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (68/206)1.5/20
0.72x (win $211 / loss $292)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3170/15
Sortino -4.4490/10
$-0.1469 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 252 (206 markets)10/10
17/47 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($99 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,555,353$-38Vol: $4,180
📈 ECONOMICS#631,786$-23Vol: $2,422
🏛️ POLITICS#1,404,634$-26Vol: $672
💰 FINANCE#556,547$-7Vol: $259
📢 MENTIONS#122,437$-7Vol: $251
CRYPTO#465,438$1Vol: $197
🎭 CULTURE#525,298$-1Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,709
Total Redeem
$14
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
217
total markets
Trades
379B / 263S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-102
Vol: $8,709

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
67W / 139L events
Realized PnL
$-102
Win Rate
33%
67W / 139L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $63 (0.6173665060477923% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$8
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?$7
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers$6
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$6
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$5

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-12
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-10
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-8
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-6
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-5
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers$-5
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?$-5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.172
Sortino
-0.295
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.6%
High (>55c)29.8%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 3:57:26 AM2 trades$1000 min
4/9/2026, 9:27:13 PM2 trades$910 min
4/9/2026, 1:53:59 PM6 trades$891 min
6/27/2026, 10:51:02 PM18 trades$696 min
4/18/2026, 9:52:30 PM7 trades$641 min
6/21/2026, 4:39:47 AM7 trades$454 min
3/18/2026, 4:27:25 PM18 trades$4020 min
6/19/2026, 7:50:17 PM19 trades$3315 min
4/7/2026, 2:27:41 AM5 trades$300 min
6/30/2026, 4:01:17 PM12 trades$299 min
6/20/2026, 11:33:52 PM4 trades$271 min
3/23/2026, 9:35:51 PM17 trades$2415 min
6/19/2026, 8:57:26 PM18 trades$239 min
4/16/2026, 10:41:52 PM5 trades$232 min
4/6/2026, 12:51:51 AM8 trades$212 min
3/21/2026, 11:19:47 PM12 trades$2113 min
6/19/2026, 8:26:52 PM6 trades$216 min
3/28/2026, 5:29:55 AM11 trades$2012 min
4/1/2026, 2:58:47 PM10 trades$183 min
6/20/2026, 7:59:31 PM8 trades$172 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
03-15
03-23
04-05
04-28
06-22
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.39/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.6 / M35.6 / H29.8