BelieveInSomething

@BelieveInSomething

#19,92291

0xfd0ee585bf699259f6a1671b4b1675d07f07a9c8

~148d· 202 markets · 986 tradesVol: $374,2412026-08-05 17:40:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (122/189)17.3/20
2.45x (win $26,459 / loss $10,788)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.12615/15
Sortino 9.78610/10
$+0.1103 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 354 (189 markets)10/10
56/92 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($2,776 / $15,916)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+6,831
Whale
$142,092 invested
Consistent
56/92 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#10,221$4,703Vol: $172,667
🏛️ POLITICS#16,985$1,090Vol: $76,083
🎭 CULTURE#814,588$-1,417Vol: $51,173
SPORTS#24,786$1,771Vol: $28,406
💰 FINANCE#639,017$-150Vol: $17,737
📈 ECONOMICS#3,283$920Vol: $15,462
🌤️ WEATHER#283,802$-89Vol: $1,818
💻 TECH#257,132$-693Vol: $1,412
📢 MENTIONS#133,580$-12Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,831
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$374,241
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
202
total markets
Trades
626B / 360S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d

Periods

#2
Today
$60
Vol: $0
Week
$133
Vol: $0
Month
$133
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,831
Vol: $374,241

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
122W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$6,831
Win Rate
65%
122W / 67L
Profit Factor
2.45x
Avg Win
$217
Avg Loss
$-166

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,621 (1.262142375084726% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,487
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$2,642
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2,493
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$2,013
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$1,589
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1,584
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?$1,408
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,210
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?$1,054
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$850

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,308
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$-1,655
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$-1,093
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-460
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$-420
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-399
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-388
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?$-315
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?$-304
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid$-301

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.369
HHI
327
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
31.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 382s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.5%
Mid (20-55c)20.4%
High (>55c)64.1%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 1:47:44 PM8 trades$10,8244 min
1/5/2026, 4:43:15 PM2 trades$7,5974 min
1/5/2026, 1:32:05 PM3 trades$7,0792 min
5/25/2026, 8:32:07 PM2 trades$7,0510 min
4/23/2026, 2:33:56 PM25 trades$6,2652 min
5/26/2026, 9:38:57 AM5 trades$5,6200 min
12/19/2025, 9:05:39 PM1 trades$5,1170 min
11/30/2025, 7:07:00 PM1 trades$4,8320 min
12/19/2025, 1:05:36 PM2 trades$4,7835 min
4/23/2026, 1:40:30 PM15 trades$4,7428 min
5/17/2025, 3:58:22 PM2 trades$3,9631 min
4/23/2026, 6:25:56 PM1 trades$3,7510 min
4/12/2026, 9:20:01 PM1 trades$3,4400 min
1/17/2026, 4:22:56 PM2 trades$3,3990 min
12/9/2024, 4:29:35 PM1 trades$3,3520 min
11/22/2025, 9:56:15 PM1 trades$3,2730 min
11/21/2025, 5:28:59 PM4 trades$2,9389 min
4/12/2026, 11:19:25 AM3 trades$2,8350 min
4/8/2026, 9:01:17 AM10 trades$2,6548 min
5/6/2025, 4:13:06 PM7 trades$2,5507 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-06
11-20
03-19
11-13
12-19
03-08
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 251 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.5 / M20.4 / H64.1