Belisarius1906

@Belisarius1906

#153,29993

0xb2036dbb41dd61e8127f230d7820b09652d3f8b0

~23d· 93 markets · 315 tradesVol: $14,0472026-08-04 20:09:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (85/93)20/20
25.70x (win $514 / loss $20)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.96315/15
Sortino 573.24110/10
$+0.0615 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 263 (93 markets)10/10
21/22 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($4 / $494)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+269
Consistent
21/22 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
35 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#76,940$269Vol: $14,047

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$269
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,047
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
107B / 208S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
85W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$269
Win Rate
91%
85W / 8L
Profit Factor
25.7x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $334 (1.2426205099571934% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$303
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$21
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$10
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5$9
Spread: Panama (-1.5)$9
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$8
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$8
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)$7
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)$6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$6

Top Losers

Chris Wood: 2+ assists$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.356
Sortino
inf
HHI
198
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.061
Kelly %
67.9%
Half-Kelly
33.9%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5585s — normal for humanCV 0.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — normal2.8 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.1%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 12:47:25 AM3 trades$4480 min
7/5/2026, 7:31:25 PM2 trades$4070 min
6/27/2026, 12:47:44 PM5 trades$3370 min
6/28/2026, 1:00:31 AM3 trades$3350 min
6/28/2026, 1:15:26 PM7 trades$3020 min
7/6/2026, 11:39:20 PM4 trades$2740 min
7/5/2026, 1:24:02 PM5 trades$2520 min
6/24/2026, 9:17:56 PM7 trades$2311 min
6/23/2026, 7:49:34 PM6 trades$2110 min
7/18/2026, 1:44:27 PM2 trades$2110 min
7/1/2026, 11:30:59 PM2 trades$2070 min
6/26/2026, 1:19:47 AM8 trades$2041 min
7/4/2026, 7:42:47 PM9 trades$2020 min
7/3/2026, 9:44:46 PM10 trades$2010 min
6/17/2026, 7:52:25 PM4 trades$2001 min
6/25/2026, 8:08:31 PM7 trades$1860 min
6/28/2026, 12:43:31 PM6 trades$1843 min
6/27/2026, 8:04:37 PM10 trades$1761 min
6/27/2026, 11:21:46 AM2 trades$1700 min
6/25/2026, 12:57:02 AM4 trades$1650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-19
06-22
06-25
06-28
07-03
07-07
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M0 / H98.1