@BigDon

#2,593,1683

0x01ca683a887185388a7f181bff270e3405f2708e

~9d· 26 markets · 72 tradesVol: $34,6432026-08-04 17:21:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (3/19)0/20
0.78x (win $445 / loss $572)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1254 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2018 (19 markets)2.4/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($191 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
📈 ECONOMICS#667,419$-180Vol: $18,142
🏛️ POLITICS#61,959$107Vol: $14,424
🎭 CULTURE#759,271$-48Vol: $1,846
CRYPTO#252,941$8Vol: $231

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-114
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,643
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
29B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $506
Week
$-13
Vol: $506
Month
$-13
Vol: $506
All Time
$-114
Vol: $34,643

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
3W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-114
Win Rate
17%
3W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$148
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $445 (3.91550783312797% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$271
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$96
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$78

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-60
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-58
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$-50
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-48
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-40
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$-39
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-39
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.301
Sortino
-0.279
HHI
286
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.191
Kelly %
0.2%
Half-Kelly
0.1%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
28.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — normal for humanCV 0.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.58
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)6.9%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 6:23:59 AM7 trades$8233 min
7/18/2026, 8:17:42 AM21 trades$6181 min
7/20/2026, 4:08:25 AM9 trades$3930 min
7/18/2026, 8:23:30 AM3 trades$3520 min
3/1/2026, 12:08:53 AM2 trades$2911 min
7/30/2026, 9:38:42 AM4 trades$2654 min
8/4/2026, 10:57:42 AM3 trades$2500 min
2/18/2026, 11:28:22 AM3 trades$1301 min
2/18/2026, 9:33:04 PM4 trades$1286 min
7/24/2026, 6:59:55 AM3 trades$1160 min
3/1/2026, 11:30:07 PM3 trades$1051 min
2/18/2026, 11:32:26 PM2 trades$803 min
7/18/2026, 8:35:55 AM2 trades$600 min
3/1/2026, 3:18:57 AM2 trades$431 min
2/22/2026, 6:30:26 AM1 trades$390 min
2/18/2026, 11:46:26 PM1 trades$200 min
2/22/2026, 6:12:50 AM1 trades$100 min
3/2/2026, 6:00:03 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
02-22
03-01
03-02
07-18
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.58/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.3 / M13.8 / H6.9