@BigMach

#2,837,08610

0xce9fcba00a988bf79370e651b8f4cb778e0bee16

~45d· 49 markets · 106 tradesVol: $16,7112026-08-04 19:42:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (12/42)0/20
0.57x (win $1,007 / loss $1,767)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1940/15
Sortino -5.2320/10
$-0.2900 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 447 (42 markets)10/10
7/26 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 263% of peak ($1,225 / $465)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#53,166$143Vol: $9,332
SPORTS#1,731,717$-177Vol: $4,254
CRYPTO#1,576,759$-379Vol: $1,819
🎭 CULTURE#767,177$-60Vol: $852
💰 FINANCE#46,828$15Vol: $455

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-458
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,711
Total Redeem
$71
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
78B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $93
Month
$5
Vol: $93
All Time
$-458
Vol: $16,711

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
12W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-458
Win Rate
29%
12W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$84
Avg Loss
$-59

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $607 (1.3243343518114359% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$324
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?$150
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$133
Will no leader be out in 2025?$109
Euro Basket: France vs Georgia$100
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?$96
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?$49
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$8
Grizzlies vs. Bulls$2

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$-220
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?$-220
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-180
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Slovenia$-100
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-100
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?$-100
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-100
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$-100
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?$-90
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$-71

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.215
Sortino
-0.315
HHI
358
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.341
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
31.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.2%
Mid (20-55c)48.7%
High (>55c)14.1%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 8:41:09 AM6 trades$2924 min
11/1/2025, 2:49:45 PM2 trades$2203 min
10/6/2025, 2:54:59 PM1 trades$2000 min
5/19/2026, 4:48:55 PM2 trades$1890 min
9/7/2025, 12:01:16 PM1 trades$1800 min
10/18/2025, 8:28:17 AM3 trades$1745 min
8/31/2025, 9:34:52 AM2 trades$1501 min
5/2/2026, 1:37:22 PM2 trades$1500 min
12/1/2025, 12:34:52 PM3 trades$1394 min
1/5/2026, 8:29:21 AM2 trades$1241 min
9/13/2025, 7:09:13 AM2 trades$1211 min
4/18/2026, 6:54:50 AM4 trades$1034 min
9/2/2025, 7:16:07 AM1 trades$1000 min
9/2/2025, 11:21:56 AM2 trades$1000 min
9/10/2025, 8:02:05 PM2 trades$1001 min
5/12/2026, 4:02:15 PM2 trades$1000 min
8/2/2026, 10:21:26 AM6 trades$961 min
10/9/2025, 6:31:36 AM3 trades$852 min
1/24/2026, 4:59:44 PM2 trades$812 min
8/12/2025, 8:37:05 PM3 trades$803 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-12
09-07
10-18
11-17
01-03
03-29
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 249 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.02/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.2 / M48.7 / H14.1