@BigPapaya

#2,441,62840

0x7c7a4bfa84b54762bcb2f394042012f00f956e47

~9d· 24 markets · 100 tradesVol: $4,7882026-08-04 22:09:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (6/22)0/20
1.16x (win $26 / loss $23)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.12715/15
Sortino 1.84210/10
$+0.0457 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 1511 (22 markets)4.9/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($9 / $12)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,403,435$-56Vol: $3,039
💻 TECH#222,563$-7Vol: $1,062
SPORTS#1,261,966$-6Vol: $563
🏛️ POLITICS#966,378$-2Vol: $69
💰 FINANCE#77,828$5Vol: $52
🌤️ WEATHER#190,971$-1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-68
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,788
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
45B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-68
Vol: $4,788

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
6W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-68
Win Rate
27%
6W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21 (0.3117725062619714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?$-2
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-1
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.118
HHI
694
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
49.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.6%
High (>55c)28.9%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 7:58:29 PM6 trades$1250 min
7/31/2026, 8:16:15 AM7 trades$245 min
7/27/2026, 11:35:40 PM8 trades$212 min
7/19/2026, 9:10:34 PM9 trades$171 min
7/23/2026, 8:05:22 PM2 trades$170 min
7/19/2026, 3:06:00 PM7 trades$151 min
7/15/2026, 1:25:41 PM2 trades$140 min
7/31/2026, 8:07:21 AM2 trades$140 min
7/15/2026, 3:01:10 PM5 trades$130 min
7/18/2026, 4:54:31 PM2 trades$100 min
7/15/2026, 1:50:28 PM6 trades$93 min
7/19/2026, 2:55:07 PM4 trades$82 min
7/19/2026, 5:02:03 PM2 trades$80 min
7/31/2026, 8:31:32 AM6 trades$63 min
7/15/2026, 2:11:14 PM2 trades$60 min
7/25/2026, 7:10:12 PM2 trades$60 min
7/15/2026, 12:45:08 PM4 trades$63 min
7/18/2026, 10:16:12 PM4 trades$60 min
7/31/2026, 7:47:03 PM2 trades$60 min
7/31/2026, 9:48:50 PM5 trades$51 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-15 12:50:00
2026-07-15 13:55:00
2026-07-19 15:10:00
2026-07-24 22:55:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.09/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.6 / M35.6 / H28.9