@BigWatermelon

#286,35127

0x899f0ab36b90bfbfdb432309e33432ec3866898e

~12d· 18 markets · 70 tradesVol: $410,9922026-08-04 19:47:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (12/18)18.3/20
0.02x (win $286 / loss $18,460)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6630/15
Sortino -5.4300/10
$-0.3746 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5311 (18 markets)0/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 6489% of peak ($18,459 / $284)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+65
Consistent
8/12 profitable days

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#118,483$60Vol: $410,674
🏛️ POLITICS#235,180$4Vol: $243
🎭 CULTURE#227,825$0Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$65
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$410,992
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
29B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$65
Vol: $410,992

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
12W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$65
Win Rate
67%
12W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-18,460

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $282 (4.370416215379855% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$280
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 1?$1
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 27?$1
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 28?$1
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$0
Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$0

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-18,460

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.284
Sortino
-1514525.000
HHI
7422
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.332
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
82.2%
Top-5 markets
110.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1050s — normal for humanCV 3.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)93.1%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 5:14:26 AM2 trades$34,6580 min
6/1/2026, 12:18:01 PM13 trades$13,0545 min
6/1/2026, 12:54:00 PM2 trades$3,1291 min
6/1/2026, 5:03:18 PM2 trades$1,8000 min
6/2/2026, 6:30:45 AM6 trades$1,4772 min
5/30/2026, 5:08:44 AM3 trades$1,0330 min
6/1/2026, 4:25:15 AM13 trades$8361 min
6/1/2026, 2:23:36 PM3 trades$4560 min
6/1/2026, 1:12:39 PM2 trades$3500 min
5/28/2026, 1:34:09 AM2 trades$1600 min
5/28/2026, 6:04:12 AM2 trades$1380 min
6/16/2026, 4:15:28 AM2 trades$860 min
6/21/2026, 4:39:50 AM3 trades$790 min
5/31/2026, 6:05:20 AM4 trades$700 min
6/24/2026, 4:55:56 AM2 trades$670 min
6/28/2026, 4:13:19 AM2 trades$470 min
6/26/2026, 4:59:43 AM3 trades$420 min
3/25/2026, 11:23:57 AM1 trades$370 min
12/23/2025, 4:26:33 AM1 trades$370 min
6/2/2026, 6:51:18 AM2 trades$240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-23
05-28
05-31
06-02
06-21
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M0 / H93.1