@Bigsomething
#2,894,505250x318366cb3fe18323f28b294e8f7d987a91a1c5eb
~39d· 55 markets · 1561 tradesVol: $86,6762026-08-04 19:18:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (28/52)11.9/20
0.61x (win $8,498 / loss $13,823)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8820/15
Sortino -3.0780/10
$-0.1679 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 628 (52 markets)9.4/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 592% of peak ($9,794 / $1,654)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 32.1 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6💻 TECH#258,687$-3,160Vol: $31,204
⚽ SPORTS#12,387$3,627Vol: $13,349
💰 FINANCE#653,647$-935Vol: $13,057
🎭 CULTURE#795,008$-201Vol: $10,640
🏛️ POLITICS#1,065,855$-3Vol: $10,239
₿ CRYPTO#1,420,136$-65Vol: $8,187
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-737
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$86,676
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
659B / 902S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $143
Month
$4
Vol: $143
All Time
$-737
Vol: $86,676
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
28W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-737
Win Rate
54%
28W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$304
Avg Loss
$-768
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,199 (5.700116749477342% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$1,773
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$1,522
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$904
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$766
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$675
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$596
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$563
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$411
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$274
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$198
Top Losers
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-5,824
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-4,987
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-901
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-466
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-374
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$-211
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-202
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-159
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?$-156
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$-117
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.148
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
1186
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
68.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
24.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
32.06
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)8.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)69.5%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 3:46:09 PM24 trades$3,8568 min
6/8/2026, 12:48:34 PM17 trades$2,5462 min
6/1/2026, 3:10:49 AM8 trades$1,9341 min
7/10/2026, 8:45:28 PM23 trades$1,7929 min
6/8/2026, 2:02:55 AM9 trades$1,6943 min
6/1/2026, 12:23:53 PM2 trades$1,6480 min
6/12/2026, 3:22:06 PM20 trades$1,6265 min
6/12/2026, 2:11:36 PM59 trades$1,2877 min
6/19/2026, 9:08:01 AM9 trades$1,0885 min
5/30/2026, 12:23:05 AM4 trades$1,0314 min
6/1/2026, 4:00:32 PM4 trades$1,0160 min
6/5/2026, 3:55:58 AM11 trades$9976 min
6/22/2026, 3:59:28 AM35 trades$9136 min
6/5/2026, 3:06:58 PM6 trades$8810 min
6/6/2026, 9:18:37 AM14 trades$8278 min
6/4/2026, 2:29:09 AM7 trades$7894 min
6/6/2026, 12:04:04 PM7 trades$7833 min
6/4/2026, 1:07:09 PM16 trades$7714 min
6/6/2026, 11:43:30 AM25 trades$72715 min
6/12/2026, 2:37:42 PM12 trades$7183 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
06-06
06-09
06-17
06-20
07-10
07-13
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.6 / M21.9 / H69.5