BlackSwanX

@BlackSwanX

#90,14168

0x9249f27dab7e1e58dfb3d5500e886c668c34d239

~23d· 28 markets · 301 tradesVol: $82,5492026-08-03 16:52:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (5/28)0/20
8.46x (win $5,126 / loss $606)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.01515/15
Sortino 72.27810/10
$+1.5964 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 988 (28 markets)7.6/10
4/17 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($423 / $4,555)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+822
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 9%

Categories

1
SPORTS#41,698$859Vol: $41,930

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$823
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,549
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
128B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
5W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$823
Win Rate
18%
5W / 23L
Profit Factor
8.46x
Avg Win
$1,025
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,075 (6.170699088145896% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,262
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$587
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev$226
Timberwolves vs. Thunder$51

Top Losers

Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $-159
Spurs vs. Bucks$-100
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner$-67
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$-66
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur$-38
Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-27
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-24
Will EYEBALLERS Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$-21
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$-20
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.255
Sortino
3.816
HHI
2043
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.596
Kelly %
5.7%
Half-Kelly
2.8%
Top-1 market
42.6%
Top-5 markets
66.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 4.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.6%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)7%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 5:32:33 PM5 trades$2,0840 min
5/27/2026, 7:33:57 PM48 trades$1,7891 min
5/29/2026, 2:01:53 PM20 trades$1,1420 min
6/13/2026, 3:11:12 PM12 trades$6720 min
5/30/2026, 8:11:05 AM28 trades$6540 min
7/24/2026, 11:53:15 PM4 trades$5290 min
5/28/2026, 4:42:17 PM22 trades$4865 min
6/13/2026, 8:18:00 AM5 trades$4500 min
6/20/2026, 7:57:14 PM10 trades$3930 min
6/15/2026, 5:41:18 AM5 trades$1931 min
6/6/2026, 8:29:16 AM2 trades$1660 min
4/18/2026, 9:19:36 PM3 trades$1520 min
3/15/2026, 6:11:39 PM1 trades$1270 min
5/29/2026, 1:31:45 PM9 trades$1230 min
3/28/2026, 3:57:43 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/1/2026, 9:57:37 PM5 trades$770 min
3/15/2026, 4:48:29 PM1 trades$760 min
6/5/2026, 9:29:52 AM2 trades$720 min
6/13/2026, 11:47:30 AM4 trades$721 min
3/22/2026, 7:00:13 PM4 trades$705 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
03-15
03-28
05-29
06-01
06-06
06-15
07-22
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.75/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.6 / M2.3 / H7