Bradlay

@Bradlay

#1,365,65710

0x4b87538bc8b407bf826daa0cec494fd6761eeb9c

~13d· 79 markets · 270 tradesVol: $7522026-08-04 19:48:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (16/79)0/20
0.29x (win $1 / loss $2)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.2460/15
Sortino -6.1630/10
$-0.0030 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 252 (79 markets)10/10
2/13 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2 / $0)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#712,285$-0Vol: $213
💰 FINANCE#472,252$-1Vol: $173
🎭 CULTURE#416,131$-0Vol: $124
₿ CRYPTO#743,277$-0Vol: $73
📈 ECONOMICS#373,069$-0Vol: $66
🌤️ WEATHER#161,067$-0Vol: $39
⚽ SPORTS#536,831$0Vol: $37
💻 TECH#143,173$-0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$752
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
90B / 180S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2
Vol: $752

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
16W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
20%
16W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.1794871794871795% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$0
No one announced as next James Bond?$0
Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils$0
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?$0
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$0
Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$0
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0

Top Losers

Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?$-1
Will monthly inflation be lower than 1.2% in September?$-0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-0
Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?$-0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 28?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on April 29?$-0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 3?$-0
Will a dozen eggs cost >$4.25 in October?$-0
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 90 and 100?$-0
Will James Franklin be the next Giants Head Coach?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.314
Sortino
-0.277
HHI
263
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
23.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
38s
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 0.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)94.4%

Sessions

#12
10/1/2025, 7:02:57 AM101 trades$21841 min
4/28/2026, 9:55:16 AM34 trades$938 min
2/25/2026, 6:01:20 AM14 trades$828 min
1/30/2026, 10:50:18 AM18 trades$729 min
3/25/2026, 11:09:55 AM9 trades$645 min
6/30/2026, 11:00:56 AM16 trades$536 min
4/7/2026, 5:40:55 AM8 trades$523 min
3/6/2026, 4:25:09 AM7 trades$436 min
6/30/2026, 10:53:25 AM4 trades$252 min
11/16/2025, 9:33:36 AM16 trades$2112 min
12/20/2025, 3:58:10 AM15 trades$1412 min
2/5/2025, 6:27:11 AM8 trades$55 min
8/2/2025, 5:52:48 PM16 trades$45 min
12/31/2025, 5:56:53 PM1 trades$10 min
2/25/2026, 5:51:48 AM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 4:16:48 AM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
10-01
12-20
01-30
03-06
04-07
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M0 / H94.4