@BreadWinnerE

#1,982,52240

0xfbc04e5120f5f92735e4a78bc4c9e50c3358cd5b

~42d· 76 markets · 269 tradesVol: $2,7792026-08-04 21:45:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (63/76)20/20
0.62x (win $23 / loss $37)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8250/15
Sortino -1.8660/10
$-0.0130 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 205 (76 markets)10/10
29/38 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 197% of peak ($33 / $17)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Consistent
29/38 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#264,134$-24Vol: $2,384
🏛️ POLITICS#220,608$5Vol: $189
🎭 CULTURE#122,458$2Vol: $80
💰 FINANCE#273,769$0Vol: $36
⚽ SPORTS#504,638$0Vol: $34
📈 ECONOMICS#119,073$1Vol: $28
💻 TECH#83,850$0Vol: $28

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,779
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
176B / 93S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-15
Vol: $2,779

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
63W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-15
Win Rate
83%
63W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.3816300129366106% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$2
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?$2
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?$2
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$2
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?$2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$1
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 18?$1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 18?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 21?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 16?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 3?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 9?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.094
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
178
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5688s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)48.3%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 8:39:17 PM2 trades$680 min
4/27/2026, 7:19:42 PM2 trades$300 min
6/9/2026, 8:55:48 AM2 trades$300 min
5/2/2026, 8:30:34 PM2 trades$300 min
4/26/2026, 12:03:50 PM2 trades$280 min
6/14/2026, 3:45:39 AM2 trades$280 min
5/14/2026, 6:04:33 AM7 trades$280 min
6/13/2026, 12:24:51 AM2 trades$270 min
6/14/2026, 12:03:46 AM2 trades$270 min
6/16/2026, 4:18:40 AM2 trades$250 min
6/29/2026, 2:31:35 AM2 trades$240 min
6/1/2026, 1:24:29 AM2 trades$240 min
5/30/2026, 8:14:18 AM2 trades$220 min
6/2/2026, 9:00:30 PM2 trades$220 min
5/22/2026, 12:35:35 AM2 trades$220 min
5/27/2026, 5:19:02 AM2 trades$200 min
5/20/2026, 8:41:07 AM2 trades$200 min
5/1/2026, 1:20:52 PM2 trades$200 min
6/25/2026, 12:42:46 PM2 trades$170 min
6/17/2026, 11:34:59 PM3 trades$151 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-02
05-14
06-02
06-09
06-16
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
80% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.7 / M0 / H48.3