BublaDaGoat

@BublaDaGoat

#65,37267

0x4f250b86e8eaf49b9aaa7dc0f936bfe3d60b8a2f

~41d· 111 markets · 869 tradesVol: $88,5132026-08-04 22:09:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (21/111)0/20
2.35x (win $4,155 / loss $1,771)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.66715/15
Sortino 18.70410/10
$+0.4326 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 601 (111 markets)9.5/10
7/34 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($813 / $2,385)7.2/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,462
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#773,463$-76Vol: $74,854
SPORTS#31,312$1,338Vol: $11,612
CRYPTO#983,632$-3Vol: $309
📢 MENTIONS#150,965$-33Vol: $182

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,462
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,513
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
111
total markets
Trades
297B / 572S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
21W / 90L events
Realized PnL
$1,462
Win Rate
19%
21W / 90L
Profit Factor
2.35x
Avg Win
$198
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,368 (2.303797295171121% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,854
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,023
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$490
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$220
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$123
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$72
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$58
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$43
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5$41

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-176
Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?$-108
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-85
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5$-83
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-77
Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?$-68
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-66
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-66
Will Florian Wirtz record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-54
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-51

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.138
Sortino
1.083
HHI
1380
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.433
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.3%
Top-5 markets
59%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 5.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.2%
High (>55c)29.3%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 10:35:07 PM4 trades$4,1510 min
7/16/2026, 1:24:56 AM27 trades$2,0321 min
7/15/2026, 10:38:59 PM15 trades$1,3950 min
4/9/2026, 4:30:45 PM2 trades$9250 min
6/14/2026, 10:53:51 PM22 trades$7321 min
6/16/2026, 5:12:06 AM7 trades$6320 min
5/11/2026, 8:23:50 PM9 trades$5510 min
4/10/2026, 1:07:29 PM8 trades$5201 min
6/9/2026, 4:00:58 PM10 trades$5031 min
6/2/2026, 9:34:10 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/11/2026, 12:41:43 PM11 trades$4684 min
6/9/2026, 1:51:54 PM11 trades$4126 min
7/14/2026, 9:23:11 PM12 trades$3780 min
4/25/2026, 6:41:44 PM18 trades$3510 min
6/2/2026, 1:38:38 AM2 trades$3440 min
6/11/2026, 7:30:31 PM8 trades$3361 min
7/16/2026, 6:12:07 PM7 trades$3010 min
7/18/2026, 1:23:13 PM8 trades$2950 min
5/11/2026, 12:25:53 PM12 trades$2803 min
6/10/2026, 10:36:30 AM12 trades$2761 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-11
04-26
05-04
06-02
06-14
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.6 / M15.2 / H29.3