Bugoz

@Bugoz

#35,33839

0x73283f2729b8c3d7279a8d17a0065b797ea0dbff

~110d· 1671 markets · 13170 tradesVol: $422,5382026-08-04 20:09:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (360/1666)0/20
1.04x (win $13,850 / loss $13,319)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.62711.8/15
Sortino 1.11610/10
$+0.0242 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 20 (1666 markets)10/10
44/101 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 79% of peak ($1,213 / $1,531)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+3,291
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#616$3,266Vol: $421,218
🏛️ POLITICS#101,248$39Vol: $1,072
📢 MENTIONS#100,103$-2Vol: $98
🎭 CULTURE#695,097$-11Vol: $96
💰 FINANCE#449,140$-1Vol: $33
📈 ECONOMICS#110,700$1Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,291
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$422,538
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1671
total markets
Trades
6388B / 6782S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d

Periods

#2
Today
$88
Vol: $3,040
Week
$105
Vol: $6,278
Month
$144
Vol: $7,681
All Time
$3,291
Vol: $422,538

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
360W / 1306L events
Realized PnL
$3,291
Win Rate
22%
360W / 1306L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,540 (0.46785974720466705% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?$626
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?$509
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?$404
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?$327
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?$318
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 3?$293
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$252
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 29?$223
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?$215
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?$201

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?$-258
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?$-217
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?$-183
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 30?$-159
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 25?$-131
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 27?$-117
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?$-116
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$-96
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 3?$-93

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.033
Sortino
0.051
HHI
21
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 243s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency2.6 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)58%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 5:36:05 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
6/8/2026, 9:17:01 PM32 trades$38621 min
6/26/2026, 3:15:40 PM32 trades$30415 min
6/18/2026, 11:54:22 PM61 trades$28925 min
6/26/2026, 1:22:01 PM30 trades$28614 min
6/19/2026, 2:59:56 PM54 trades$28027 min
7/7/2026, 7:33:17 AM5 trades$2710 min
6/16/2026, 12:43:33 AM67 trades$25934 min
6/17/2026, 11:13:40 AM30 trades$24912 min
6/12/2026, 4:19:45 AM24 trades$24322 min
6/19/2026, 6:40:38 AM23 trades$23210 min
6/19/2026, 8:59:55 PM43 trades$21728 min
6/16/2026, 12:57:42 PM52 trades$2145 min
6/27/2026, 9:45:41 PM17 trades$20210 min
6/15/2026, 3:58:36 PM36 trades$19515 min
6/18/2026, 12:03:40 PM35 trades$18319 min
6/19/2026, 9:01:44 AM34 trades$17326 min
6/17/2026, 11:15:14 PM32 trades$16814 min
6/18/2026, 4:45:08 PM42 trades$16724 min
11/27/2024, 3:29:57 PM3 trades$1656 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-11
01-29
03-09
06-11
06-27
07-13
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.9 / M23.1 / H58