@CalmMistake
#414,097890x0e4143a2450fc368bccbb50c02f16725c90a96e2
~8d· 14 markets · 56 tradesVol: $13,0622026-08-05 17:24:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
88% (7/8)20/20
6.51x (win $513 / loss $79)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 14.37215/15
Sortino 39.79510/10
$+0.0554 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 1293 (8 markets)6/10
6/7 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($79 / $447)10/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+20
Consistent
6/7 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,422,129$-31Vol: $11,413
🎭 CULTURE#93,148$5Vol: $744
⚽ SPORTS#217,773$24Vol: $341
💰 FINANCE#514,764$-3Vol: $200
Overview
#1Net PnL
$21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,062
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
31B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
88%
7W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$21
Win Rate
88%
7W / 1L
Profit Factor
6.51x
Avg Win
$73
Avg Loss
$-79
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $330 (16.1% of PnL)
Top Winners
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30?$139
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?$118
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$72
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$70
Spread: Liberia (-2.5)$47
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$47
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$20
Top Losers
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?$-79
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.697
Sortino
inf
HHI
446
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
42.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
47.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2871s — normal for humanCV 0.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.38
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)3.2%
High (>55c)90.3%
Sessions
#127/28/2026, 6:46:10 AM3 trades$7585 min
7/3/2026, 7:30:50 AM4 trades$6740 min
6/20/2026, 3:10:37 AM3 trades$6722 min
6/20/2026, 4:13:43 AM3 trades$6683 min
7/28/2026, 2:29:13 AM2 trades$3820 min
7/26/2026, 7:28:40 AM3 trades$3790 min
6/10/2026, 6:06:28 AM2 trades$3700 min
6/10/2026, 6:50:21 AM3 trades$3700 min
7/28/2026, 7:32:57 AM1 trades$3680 min
7/26/2026, 6:48:52 AM1 trades$3630 min
6/19/2026, 3:18:55 AM2 trades$3520 min
6/20/2026, 4:31:53 AM5 trades$3481 min
6/9/2026, 6:25:16 AM2 trades$3460 min
6/9/2026, 7:35:31 AM3 trades$3460 min
6/20/2026, 2:20:37 AM2 trades$3450 min
6/9/2026, 8:03:55 AM2 trades$3410 min
7/15/2026, 1:49:01 AM2 trades$3350 min
6/19/2026, 6:57:02 AM2 trades$3310 min
6/19/2026, 7:44:53 AM2 trades$3310 min
7/15/2026, 2:54:35 AM3 trades$3280 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-19
06-20
07-03
07-15
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M3.2 / H90.3