@CaprioDiLeo

#142,23334

0x2eb6921692bbefa0ee42d48c48141f6a81d33e31

~57d· 92 markets · 12858 tradesVol: $950,6312026-08-06 07:23:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (39/89)6.9/20
1.05x (win $27,495 / loss $26,283)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3506.6/15
Sortino 0.5025/10
$+0.0080 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 354 (89 markets)10/10
16/41 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 276% of peak ($11,354 / $4,116)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+663
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Whale
$151,516 invested
High Roller
$2,658/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

1
🎭 CULTURE#10,533$316Vol: $950,631

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$950,631
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
12858B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-264
Vol: $11,857
Week
$-547
Vol: $128,023
Month
$-522
Vol: $147,233
All Time
$316
Vol: $950,631

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
39W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$663
Win Rate
44%
39W / 50L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$705
Avg Loss
$-526

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,694 (14.630695624613248% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$4,075
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2,874
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$2,745
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2,709
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$2,633
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$2,348
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1,882
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1,289
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1,180
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$743

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-6,164
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-5,970
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-5,824
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-2,343
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-1,141
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-1,131
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-689
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-439
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-384
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-340

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.022
HHI
351
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
28.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
225.6
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
45 min
Avg Trades / Session
64.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock226 trades/day — automation1.6 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
140
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.8%
High (>55c)73.4%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 2:13:44 PM295 trades$5,18693 min
7/9/2026, 6:33:07 AM273 trades$2,890217 min
6/23/2026, 5:26:38 PM136 trades$2,40672 min
7/17/2026, 6:37:12 AM102 trades$2,26470 min
7/16/2026, 10:09:50 PM93 trades$2,01572 min
6/25/2026, 5:24:59 AM110 trades$1,92568 min
7/23/2026, 5:40:45 PM120 trades$1,63068 min
7/10/2026, 7:14:46 AM73 trades$1,54858 min
7/2/2026, 2:23:47 PM110 trades$1,547103 min
6/25/2026, 7:33:22 AM113 trades$1,43470 min
6/25/2026, 6:43:04 AM58 trades$1,33425 min
7/23/2026, 9:48:04 PM113 trades$1,29174 min
7/16/2026, 1:12:34 PM52 trades$1,05145 min
7/22/2026, 12:15:12 PM18 trades$92714 min
7/23/2026, 5:37:43 AM57 trades$82341 min
7/24/2026, 5:15:54 AM128 trades$821130 min
7/16/2026, 9:21:35 PM35 trades$79527 min
7/23/2026, 12:56:25 PM58 trades$78966 min
7/23/2026, 6:23:39 AM43 trades$77736 min
7/17/2026, 11:52:37 AM42 trades$77723 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-12
06-19
06-26
07-03
07-17
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 140/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M9.8 / H73.4