Carlito86

@Carlito86

#2,817,4773

0xe2c01568dc76f0f3b053068d6b7b0ce4b887ad3f

~13d· 16 markets · 34 tradesVol: $14,8562026-08-04 21:45:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (3/15)0/20
0.49x (win $418 / loss $846)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1590/15
Sortino -5.9520/10
$-0.3076 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2065 (15 markets)2.2/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 222% of peak ($778 / $350)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,836$-611Vol: $6,285
CRYPTO#1,380,555$-47Vol: $6,007
🎭 CULTURE#9,141$395Vol: $2,024
🌤️ WEATHER#240,400$-8Vol: $100
💰 FINANCE#576,307$-11Vol: $84
SPORTS#370,182$3Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-390
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,856
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
22B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
3W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-427
Win Rate
20%
3W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$139
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $418 (0.9779404884439038% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel military response against Iran in October?$295
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?$118
New Diddy charges before November?$5

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-341
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$-282
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?$-111
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$-20
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 80% and 82.5%?$-20
Will Israel strike Iran on Saturday Oct 19?$-15
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 5?$-12
Israel military action against Iraq before November?$-12
Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 18?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.255
Sortino
-0.320
HHI
2138
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.313
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.4%
Top-5 markets
88.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.93
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.8%
Mid (20-55c)45.5%
High (>55c)22.7%

Sessions

#12
10/31/2024, 10:16:00 PM1 trades$2950 min
10/22/2024, 3:08:40 PM2 trades$2882 min
11/6/2024, 2:31:31 PM1 trades$1820 min
10/16/2024, 3:39:52 AM2 trades$1203 min
6/5/2026, 5:45:49 AM6 trades$1163 min
10/29/2024, 5:20:06 PM2 trades$1123 min
10/23/2024, 3:42:45 AM1 trades$1110 min
11/13/2024, 8:33:39 AM1 trades$1070 min
11/24/2024, 11:40:43 AM1 trades$1070 min
10/17/2024, 2:14:31 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/22/2024, 5:34:46 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/4/2026, 2:06:01 PM4 trades$831 min
11/6/2024, 1:04:11 AM1 trades$540 min
10/16/2024, 3:55:04 AM3 trades$401 min
10/16/2024, 4:31:26 AM3 trades$382 min
7/22/2026, 8:45:00 PM3 trades$250 min
10/21/2024, 12:30:44 PM1 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
10-21
10-22
10-23
10-29
11-06
11-24
06-04
06-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 591 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
13.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.93/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.8 / M45.5 / H22.7