@Cascadia

#2,636,8700

0xaaa53663df16be98887fc2e5a8ecff0a0d8529f7

~5d· 20 markets · 140 tradesVol: $6,665,1842026-08-04 18:53:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

7% (1/14)0/20
0.01x (win $2 / loss $149)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0805 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8757 (14 markets)0/10
0/3 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($147 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,504,441$-135Vol: $269
⚽ SPORTS#1,185,641$-4Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,665,184
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
76B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
7%
1W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-139
Win Rate
7%
1W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.012599899200806395% of PnL)

Top Winners

Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-113
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-22
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$-2
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?$-1
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.660
Sortino
-0.569
HHI
8088
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
89.7%
Top-5 markets
98.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.7m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
9
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern7/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.6%
High (>55c)25%

Sessions

#12
10/13/2025, 1:40:47 PM56 trades$2,45613 min
10/13/2025, 2:21:11 PM16 trades$6306 min
10/13/2025, 2:10:09 PM9 trades$3273 min
8/3/2026, 5:50:56 AM16 trades$365 min
10/14/2025, 12:37:05 PM1 trades$220 min
10/14/2025, 1:42:51 PM1 trades$220 min
7/11/2026, 7:57:38 AM33 trades$2219 min
7/11/2026, 3:18:44 PM2 trades$50 min
7/27/2026, 2:17:28 PM6 trades$33 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
10-14
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.4 / M2.6 / H25