@CaspianPanthers412

#2,523,36911

0x428b4e3dfa89b8969eaa2a7344cc4af0a05977ef

~10d· 28 markets · 75 tradesVol: $10,2232026-08-04 19:06:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (9/27)1.7/20
0.67x (win $311 / loss $463)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2020/15
Sortino -6.2470/10
$-0.2775 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 678 (27 markets)9.1/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($168 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
82% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,661,758$-89Vol: $5,703
🎭 CULTURE#617,854$-3Vol: $3,410
₿ CRYPTO#881,924$-1Vol: $1,110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-94
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,223
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
34B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
9W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-94
Win Rate
33%
9W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-42

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139 (1.477797891598339% of PnL)

Top Winners

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$50
Knicks vs. Spurs$45
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals$44
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics$44
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros$41
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies$36
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves$20
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$17
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$13

Top Losers

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$-70
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$-67
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners$-60
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers$-60
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$-45
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-38
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-36
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-33
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-21
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.258
Sortino
-0.433
HHI
592
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.304
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
44.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2168s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.6%
Mid (20-55c)61.8%
High (>55c)17.6%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 2:07:37 PM2 trades$980 min
6/16/2026, 5:28:44 PM2 trades$820 min
6/12/2026, 9:15:39 AM2 trades$680 min
6/19/2026, 12:35:40 PM4 trades$640 min
6/13/2026, 12:12:30 PM2 trades$560 min
6/16/2026, 7:22:22 PM2 trades$540 min
6/11/2026, 1:38:06 PM2 trades$540 min
6/15/2026, 1:34:07 PM2 trades$540 min
6/12/2026, 9:37:24 AM2 trades$530 min
6/18/2026, 12:12:59 PM2 trades$410 min
6/15/2026, 1:09:36 PM2 trades$380 min
6/15/2026, 12:37:04 PM2 trades$370 min
6/18/2026, 12:54:04 PM2 trades$360 min
6/12/2026, 10:46:55 AM2 trades$350 min
6/11/2026, 2:49:03 PM2 trades$340 min
6/16/2026, 6:15:56 PM2 trades$300 min
6/23/2026, 1:15:25 PM2 trades$300 min
6/18/2026, 1:18:55 PM2 trades$290 min
6/18/2026, 3:58:56 PM2 trades$280 min
6/23/2026, 12:51:38 PM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-15
06-16
06-18
06-19
06-23
06-25
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.04/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.6 / M61.8 / H17.6