@Castebot
#2,818,777900x9fd64979a0d2bd5781ea6ac09143c7af21835ab1
~75d· 2051 markets · 14342 tradesVol: $754,3512026-08-05 00:39:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
91% (1860/2050)20/20
2.68x (win $1,941 / loss $725)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.29415/15
Sortino 12.92710/10
$+0.0034 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 11 (2050 markets)10/10
71/74 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($199 / $1,216)10/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 91%
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Whale
$361,862 invested
Consistent
71/74 profitable days
High Roller
$3,513/day
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
52 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#294,521$-394Vol: $754,351
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-394
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$754,351
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2051
total markets
Trades
8693B / 5649S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d
Periods
#2Today
$9
Vol: $4,403
Week
$-17
Vol: $15,997
Month
$-9
Vol: $22,295
All Time
$-394
Vol: $754,351
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
91%
1860W / 190L events
Realized PnL
$-394
Win Rate
91%
1860W / 190L
Profit Factor
2.68x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-33
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $124 (0.31583225380375424% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 25?$48
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 5?$39
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?$37
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 20?$35
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 25?$31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 28?$29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 26?$28
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 22?$26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 20?$24
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 20?$21
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 12?$-281
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?$-128
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?$-65
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 21?$-47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 20?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?$-44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 25?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 21?$-29
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 19?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on June 20?$-19
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.483
Sortino
0.175
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
2.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
139.2
Very active
Markets / Day
19.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.9m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.8
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock139 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#125/12/2026, 4:21:56 PM4 trades$5,7541 min
5/12/2026, 5:01:06 AM109 trades$2,70624 min
6/5/2026, 5:01:04 AM66 trades$2,37719 min
5/10/2026, 4:55:14 AM87 trades$2,25528 min
5/7/2026, 5:45:36 PM64 trades$2,18721 min
5/13/2026, 5:00:50 AM55 trades$2,06911 min
5/9/2026, 11:15:33 AM47 trades$1,68818 min
5/8/2026, 5:58:16 AM45 trades$1,6808 min
6/17/2026, 5:00:55 AM40 trades$1,6765 min
5/11/2026, 5:20:55 AM81 trades$1,66946 min
5/8/2026, 5:00:59 AM53 trades$1,5375 min
4/29/2026, 4:00:14 PM30 trades$1,4985 min
5/12/2026, 4:32:23 PM16 trades$1,4742 min
5/13/2026, 7:30:43 AM19 trades$1,4452 min
5/5/2026, 10:16:02 AM42 trades$1,44010 min
5/7/2026, 11:01:46 AM29 trades$1,4072 min
5/16/2026, 5:59:15 PM28 trades$1,37418 min
7/3/2026, 10:24:31 PM18 trades$1,36711 min
5/3/2026, 5:00:56 AM61 trades$1,3556 min
5/12/2026, 5:16:45 PM17 trades$1,3322 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-06
06-04
06-19
07-03
07-15
08-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100