@Castycoin

#2,027,54076

0x25241ddb26d4ef38bdadc2c9107dca45bbff6bba

~12d· 140 markets · 455 tradesVol: $1,5832026-08-04 15:05:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (96/140)19.3/20
1.23x (win $177 / loss $144)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.04415/15
Sortino 11.77110/10
$+0.0308 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 234 (140 markets)10/10
9/12 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($15 / $33)4.9/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Consistent
9/12 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,518,602$-29Vol: $860
CRYPTO#222,049$12Vol: $723

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,583
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
140
total markets
Trades
241B / 214S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
96W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
69%
96W / 44L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $55 (3.138715179079022% of PnL)

Top Winners

France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$29
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$12
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5$8
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5$6
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$5
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score$4
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$3

Top Losers

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$-14
Jordan leading at halftime?$-12
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5$-10
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5$-10
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5$-9
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5$-6
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.353
Sortino
0.421
HHI
232
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
22.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.4m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 340s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity11 trades/day — very active3.4 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)86.7%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 7:34:40 AM10 trades$1088 min
6/18/2026, 8:08:29 AM4 trades$1044 min
6/21/2026, 11:59:41 PM2 trades$600 min
6/20/2026, 5:40:10 PM6 trades$548 min
6/20/2026, 2:56:14 AM2 trades$500 min
6/22/2026, 6:50:07 PM3 trades$480 min
6/20/2026, 9:52:46 PM3 trades$481 min
6/19/2026, 6:57:22 PM4 trades$400 min
6/18/2026, 11:47:04 PM2 trades$400 min
6/19/2026, 5:53:05 AM2 trades$400 min
6/19/2026, 8:54:14 PM7 trades$363 min
6/18/2026, 7:01:37 AM23 trades$3322 min
6/20/2026, 11:57:07 PM2 trades$300 min
6/19/2026, 3:52:52 AM1 trades$300 min
6/20/2026, 1:15:44 AM5 trades$291 min
6/18/2026, 5:56:31 AM8 trades$2611 min
6/23/2026, 4:53:46 AM4 trades$243 min
6/23/2026, 5:09:10 PM5 trades$224 min
6/22/2026, 5:45:31 PM2 trades$200 min
6/20/2026, 4:12:50 AM4 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M10 / H86.7