@CavanaghA

#255,47630

0x41bb7e67eeebe7b2adbbc768e6a1120cd0443906

~8d· 15 markets · 83 tradesVol: $19,1572026-08-04 22:38:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (5/7)20/20
0.39x (win $173 / loss $447)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0689 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1591 (7 markets)4.5/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($273 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+88
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#125,400$23Vol: $17,876
SPORTS#148,016$64Vol: $1,281

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$88
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,157
Total Redeem
$331
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
49B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
5W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$88
Win Rate
71%
5W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-223

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $149 (1.696225557071396% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Mantova 1911 (-1.5)$60
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)$46
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$43
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)$23
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$2

Top Losers

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-301
Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?$-146

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.422
Sortino
-0.889
HHI
1063
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.5%
Top-5 markets
65.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.4m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)63.3%

Sessions

#12
7/25/2026, 2:29:25 AM4 trades$9400 min
7/25/2026, 3:24:57 AM4 trades$9400 min
7/30/2026, 6:51:24 AM4 trades$9250 min
7/30/2026, 8:05:00 AM4 trades$9250 min
7/13/2026, 7:37:26 AM6 trades$9200 min
7/13/2026, 6:47:53 AM4 trades$8700 min
6/29/2026, 8:45:49 AM10 trades$8101 min
6/29/2026, 7:01:50 AM4 trades$8030 min
6/17/2026, 8:35:32 AM4 trades$5430 min
5/1/2026, 6:45:52 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/1/2026, 5:00:26 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/1/2026, 6:38:00 AM1 trades$4660 min
4/27/2026, 9:20:08 AM2 trades$4500 min
4/27/2026, 7:46:10 AM2 trades$4400 min
4/27/2026, 9:14:04 AM1 trades$4380 min
4/9/2026, 5:13:43 AM6 trades$3421 min
4/9/2026, 7:25:29 AM2 trades$3320 min
4/9/2026, 7:12:29 AM3 trades$3081 min
7/25/2026, 1:38:37 AM2 trades$850 min
7/25/2026, 2:34:51 AM2 trades$850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
04-27
05-01
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.7 / M0 / H63.3