@CeasefireKing
#68,614510x3b6236845f827be2aa8ec8ff8760c2c140f59c11
~115d· 3782 markets · 10941 tradesVol: $346,8902026-08-04 18:28:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (1672/3779)7.1/20
1.28x (win $23,833 / loss $18,669)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.45215/15
Sortino 2.40710/10
$+0.0360 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 1864 (3779 markets)3.2/10
42/78 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($4,385 / $7,555)2.4/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+1,346
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
10% sells
Whale
$143,267 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#132,684$83Vol: $125,910
🏛️ POLITICS#8,245$3,354Vol: $105,382
₿ CRYPTO#40,836$567Vol: $104,347
🎭 CULTURE#814,537$-2,662Vol: $8,423
📈 ECONOMICS#42,169$10Vol: $1,423
💻 TECH#218,731$-5Vol: $1,405
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,346
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$346,890
Total Redeem
$4,051
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3782
total markets
Trades
9884B / 1057S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $242
Month
$5
Vol: $471
All Time
$1,346
Vol: $346,890
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
1672W / 2107L events
Realized PnL
$1,346
Win Rate
44%
1672W / 2107L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,036 (6.713398369876142% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4,650
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3,208
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1,178
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4AM ET$483
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$415
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$412
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$395
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$357
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$344
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$341
Top Losers
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$-4,578
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,351
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9AM ET$-655
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-461
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$-405
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$-403
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?$-340
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-322
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$-301
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-275
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.075
Sortino
0.087
HHI
3357
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
53.7%
Top-5 markets
91.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
33.1
Active
Markets / Day
11.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 9.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency11 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)39.1%
High (>55c)42.9%
Sessions
#124/17/2026, 9:30:50 PM4 trades$16,6921 min
5/4/2026, 1:53:00 PM28 trades$11,5272 min
5/23/2026, 10:46:49 AM76 trades$10,59314 min
5/11/2026, 9:10:10 AM32 trades$10,2840 min
5/29/2026, 2:10:03 PM34 trades$8,9462 min
5/26/2026, 10:33:55 AM14 trades$7,7032 min
5/20/2026, 3:45:58 PM19 trades$7,2792 min
5/24/2026, 8:46:05 AM30 trades$6,8741 min
5/6/2026, 7:21:14 AM16 trades$4,6696 min
12/19/2025, 2:32:20 PM113 trades$4,44041 min
4/12/2026, 6:01:15 AM2 trades$4,0624 min
6/1/2026, 1:03:01 AM55 trades$3,9844 min
5/24/2026, 9:30:20 AM37 trades$3,9121 min
6/10/2026, 7:30:40 AM12 trades$3,2738 min
5/30/2026, 10:02:06 PM1 trades$3,0360 min
5/29/2026, 8:31:43 AM17 trades$2,5107 min
5/25/2026, 10:52:12 PM15 trades$2,4744 min
5/18/2026, 5:47:04 PM12 trades$2,4430 min
5/8/2026, 10:15:38 AM8 trades$2,0320 min
6/11/2026, 10:00:12 AM9 trades$1,8961 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
11-28
12-17
12-31
01-17
01-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M39.1 / H42.9