@CedricDlv

#2,286,68934

0x16c012a17cc2365bdb90b0be7ec1aeed97ac4d20

~12d· 15 markets · 39 tradesVol: $4,4312026-08-05 15:50:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (10/14)20/20
0.85x (win $361 / loss $424)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9460/15
Sortino -1.1340/10
$-0.0250 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1830 (14 markets)3.3/10
7/9 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($354 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Consistent
7/9 profitable days

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#135,476$19Vol: $4,227
📈 ECONOMICS#40,052$11Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,431
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
29B / 10S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
10W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-40
Win Rate
71%
10W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-106

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $302 (7.58429503261415% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?$190
French election called by October 31?$79
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$33
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$18
French election called by December 31?$16
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?$11
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?$5
Macron out in 2025?$4
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?$3
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?$1

Top Losers

Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$-300
Will Derek Lunsford win Mr. Olympia 2025?$-60
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?$-54
Will Nick Walker win Mr. Olympia 2025?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
861
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
59.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 632s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.79
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)79.3%

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 2:32:55 AM4 trades$1,0241 min
6/27/2026, 1:49:37 AM2 trades$4610 min
10/8/2025, 1:11:24 AM1 trades$3000 min
1/13/2026, 10:20:29 AM1 trades$2610 min
7/9/2026, 11:49:50 PM12 trades$2603 min
10/8/2025, 5:05:14 PM1 trades$2000 min
11/16/2025, 2:36:46 AM1 trades$1730 min
10/12/2025, 2:53:28 PM1 trades$1010 min
10/8/2025, 9:47:44 PM2 trades$703 min
10/15/2025, 1:29:41 AM1 trades$660 min
11/4/2025, 2:28:55 PM2 trades$501 min
10/18/2025, 1:17:13 AM1 trades$460 min
12/2/2025, 2:27:26 AM1 trades$450 min
1/13/2026, 11:09:03 AM1 trades$420 min
10/8/2025, 10:01:02 PM1 trades$390 min
10/15/2025, 3:14:21 AM1 trades$370 min
11/14/2025, 6:46:04 PM1 trades$220 min
1/13/2026, 1:56:59 AM2 trades$172 min
11/16/2025, 4:32:36 AM1 trades$110 min
11/4/2025, 3:24:13 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
10-12
10-15
10-18
11-04
11-14
11-16
12-02
03-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M17.2 / H79.3