CedricKoudini

@CedricKoudini

#2,760,84738

0x624e6043e7a1ede8922aa9d705e44673ea4dc791

~49d· 104 markets · 330 tradesVol: $26,903 @CedricKoudini2026-08-04 21:49:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (69/97)20/20
0.48x (win $321 / loss $669)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7500/15
Sortino -4.3110/10
$-0.0316 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 367 (97 markets)10/10
29/47 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 261% of peak ($571 / $219)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Consistent
29/47 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,497,395$-126Vol: $19,626
🌤️ WEATHER#272,095$-38Vol: $3,469
🏛️ POLITICS#1,495,001$-73Vol: $2,028
📈 ECONOMICS#576,079$-6Vol: $1,152
💰 FINANCE#633,862$-105Vol: $219
SPORTS#122,285$99Vol: $206
🎭 CULTURE#719,302$-18Vol: $181
📢 MENTIONS#61,355$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-267
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,903
Total Redeem
$1,471
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
168B / 162S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-267
Vol: $26,903

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
69W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-267
Win Rate
71%
69W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $234 (0.8776581779994749% of PnL)

Top Winners

Browns vs. Saints$99
Will the Liberal Reform Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?$72
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 25?$63
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$57
Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?$6
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 11-18?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?$2
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$1

Top Losers

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$-106
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$-103
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$-102
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-97
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 26?$-21
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on April 25?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 25?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.194
Sortino
-0.176
HHI
390
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
29.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 328s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.4%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)47.6%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 10:07:58 AM58 trades$1,2113 min
6/21/2026, 12:59:19 PM2 trades$1,0490 min
6/6/2026, 2:16:22 AM2 trades$1,0440 min
4/5/2026, 4:24:15 PM2 trades$1,0040 min
4/24/2026, 10:04:02 PM17 trades$9140 min
5/16/2026, 11:51:10 AM3 trades$6340 min
1/25/2026, 7:31:14 PM2 trades$5862 min
5/4/2026, 11:48:06 AM2 trades$5560 min
5/18/2026, 11:22:35 AM2 trades$5490 min
5/17/2026, 12:02:16 PM2 trades$5480 min
6/14/2026, 2:44:46 PM2 trades$5240 min
6/7/2026, 12:36:58 PM8 trades$5241 min
6/4/2026, 10:57:09 AM2 trades$5230 min
4/5/2026, 4:04:09 PM2 trades$5090 min
3/8/2026, 4:32:33 PM1 trades$4010 min
3/15/2026, 4:43:49 PM1 trades$3990 min
4/26/2026, 11:12:40 AM7 trades$3583 min
11/9/2025, 12:35:57 PM2 trades$3005 min
1/25/2026, 1:16:08 PM1 trades$2950 min
12/31/2025, 3:09:03 PM1 trades$2950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
10-18
12-04
11-23
02-26
04-25
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 541 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.4 / M6 / H47.6