@Ceroui

#634,77670

0x7a9ce2ef5c622e777b6ec9bce7400d5106624683

~28d· 28 markets · 103 tradesVol: $7,8542026-08-05 01:18:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (12/19)16.6/20
1.84x (win $11 / loss $6)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.52615/15
Sortino 6.01710/10
$+0.0010 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 2341 (19 markets)0.8/10
12/15 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($4 / $8)4.6/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+3
Consistent
12/15 profitable days

Categories

5
SPORTS#407,085$2Vol: $3,229
🏛️ POLITICS#283,034$2Vol: $2,681
📈 ECONOMICS#452,514$-1Vol: $1,904
CRYPTO#903,535$-2Vol: $24
📢 MENTIONS#38,418$1Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,854
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
61B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$3
Vol: $7,854

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
12W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$3
Win Rate
63%
12W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (2.1226053639846745% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ET$2
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$2
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$2
Siena Saints vs. Longwood Lancers$1
Will Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1
Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?$1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?$1
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $1
US national Solana reserve in 2025?$0
Will Tim Walz say "abortion" during the debate?$0

Top Losers

Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?$-4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2
Will Villarreal CF win La Liga?$-0
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-0
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?$-0
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.229
Sortino
0.187
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
56.8%
Half-Kelly
28.4%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
7s
between trades
Avg Gap
28.9m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
57% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)88.5%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 12:44:44 PM20 trades$2,9831 min
4/28/2026, 9:39:00 AM8 trades$1,0831 min
3/28/2026, 8:51:31 AM5 trades$9482 min
7/21/2026, 7:58:31 AM8 trades$5991 min
3/31/2026, 4:48:51 AM3 trades$5481 min
7/23/2026, 6:36:28 AM4 trades$4070 min
12/27/2024, 5:15:20 AM2 trades$2372 min
5/29/2026, 11:08:36 AM8 trades$2352 min
12/24/2024, 4:23:08 PM1 trades$2340 min
3/4/2026, 1:14:13 PM3 trades$2090 min
8/10/2024, 2:02:29 PM2 trades$1981 min
7/31/2024, 8:13:35 AM1 trades$1960 min
6/1/2026, 7:06:48 AM4 trades$1350 min
3/7/2026, 5:40:47 AM1 trades$710 min
10/17/2024, 5:32:59 AM4 trades$232 min
9/27/2024, 7:42:42 AM5 trades$122 min
8/4/2025, 3:39:46 AM3 trades$90 min
8/25/2025, 6:24:25 AM3 trades$80 min
11/13/2025, 6:19:48 AM3 trades$80 min
9/23/2024, 10:11:37 AM3 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-10
10-17
01-21
06-27
08-25
11-28
12-29
03-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M1.6 / H88.5