@ChainReaction-392
#12,884700x1f5a521a3264025f8e9660a1b11798300f3a1d35
~149d· 146 markets · 1771 tradesVol: $258,9632026-08-04 20:03:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (69/131)11.3/20
1.42x (win $29,624 / loss $20,823)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.13015/15
Sortino 2.29410/10
$+0.1003 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 388 (131 markets)10/10
43/81 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($7,488 / $16,288)4.8/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+11,528
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.0 entries/market
Whale
$87,705 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,841$-2,229Vol: $219,584
🎭 CULTURE#575$14,408Vol: $27,517
₿ CRYPTO#88,692$109Vol: $6,460
📢 MENTIONS#174,259$-695Vol: $3,970
⚽ SPORTS#1,464,200$-20Vol: $1,111
💰 FINANCE#626,057$-72Vol: $210
🌤️ WEATHER#14,569$25Vol: $111
Overview
#1Net PnL
$11,527
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$258,963
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
146
total markets
Trades
1368B / 403S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d
Periods
#2Today
$33
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $73
Month
$-38
Vol: $73
All Time
$11,527
Vol: $258,963
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
69W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$11,528
Win Rate
53%
69W / 62L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$429
Avg Loss
$-336
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,807 (1.544678027263698% of PnL)
Top Winners
US military action against Iran before July?$13,806
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,589
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?$1,413
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1,301
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$830
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$703
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?$677
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$573
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$549
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026?$505
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-6,574
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?$-3,560
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$-2,064
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$-1,849
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-550
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?$-538
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$-500
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-407
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-373
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$-358
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.088
HHI
560
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
42.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 266s — normal for humanCV 4.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)35.6%
Sessions
#1212/8/2024, 11:39:40 AM1 trades$7,3030 min
3/24/2025, 8:32:24 AM1 trades$4,1720 min
12/29/2024, 3:54:14 AM1 trades$4,0000 min
5/12/2026, 6:15:44 AM27 trades$3,2459 min
6/19/2026, 8:48:43 AM14 trades$3,2383 min
3/1/2026, 8:41:29 AM2 trades$3,1810 min
6/18/2026, 8:57:55 AM10 trades$2,9870 min
6/18/2026, 7:08:29 PM3 trades$2,7920 min
5/12/2026, 11:15:55 AM1 trades$2,6390 min
1/6/2026, 10:34:33 AM6 trades$1,91813 min
6/11/2026, 5:34:06 PM42 trades$1,78311 min
6/18/2026, 8:42:13 AM25 trades$1,7501 min
1/6/2026, 10:22:49 AM2 trades$1,6414 min
1/16/2025, 8:05:39 PM2 trades$1,5003 min
6/12/2025, 3:06:31 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
6/4/2026, 6:57:46 AM39 trades$1,40822 min
10/20/2024, 11:26:51 AM4 trades$1,35010 min
11/15/2024, 8:59:27 AM1 trades$1,3300 min
6/21/2026, 5:17:07 PM4 trades$1,2811 min
2/28/2026, 10:01:11 AM16 trades$1,23416 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
01-06
05-17
01-09
02-03
05-18
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.1 / M33.3 / H35.6