ChampagneSocialist

@ChampagneSocialist

#10,30591

0x73ecf6a30d3c6538cd931ec13c9ed6eba944f5bb

~127d· 99 markets · 1897 tradesVol: $190,0812026-08-06 07:54:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (59/90)17.8/20
2.28x (win $27,831 / loss $12,220)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.69015/15
Sortino 4.79410/10
$+0.1832 per $1 invested9.2/10
HHI 586 (90 markets)9.6/10
37/61 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($7,592 / $22,045)7.1/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+14,911
DCA Master
Avg 20.3 entries/market
Whale
$85,193 invested
Consistent
37/61 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#629$8,782Vol: $96,819
💻 TECH#327$6,097Vol: $89,865
🏛️ POLITICS#1,336,534$-15Vol: $1,966
🎭 CULTURE#116,506$3Vol: $1,246
CRYPTO#133,872$45Vol: $150
📢 MENTIONS#23,278$7Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,919
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$190,081
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
759B / 1138S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~127d

Periods

#2
Today
$-28
Vol: $0
Week
$288
Vol: $1,133
Month
$276
Vol: $1,133
All Time
$14,919
Vol: $190,081

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
59W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$14,911
Win Rate
66%
59W / 31L
Profit Factor
2.28x
Avg Win
$472
Avg Loss
$-453

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,699 (1.1199259851930146% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$8,874
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$4,016
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$3,809
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$1,440
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1,249
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$929
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$820
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$815
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$814
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$722

Top Losers

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-7,592
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-1,032
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$-962
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-811
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-796
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-399
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$-213
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$-114
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-55
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
0.159
HHI
536
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.185
Kelly %
29.8%
Half-Kelly
14.9%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
44.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1350s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.31
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.4%
High (>55c)58.4%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 5:04:19 PM82 trades$10,8350 min
4/24/2026, 3:15:04 AM48 trades$7,9500 min
5/19/2026, 5:43:56 PM107 trades$7,6340 min
7/27/2026, 6:14:52 PM43 trades$7,6170 min
7/10/2026, 6:58:16 PM49 trades$7,6132 min
5/28/2026, 1:03:56 AM140 trades$7,3641 min
4/22/2026, 9:50:30 PM98 trades$6,0450 min
7/2/2026, 3:05:04 PM58 trades$5,3550 min
4/27/2026, 3:49:44 PM46 trades$4,9870 min
4/27/2026, 4:43:28 PM38 trades$4,1494 min
4/25/2026, 12:52:40 AM2 trades$3,9060 min
2/20/2026, 4:19:00 PM30 trades$3,5630 min
8/15/2025, 5:10:48 PM5 trades$3,1103 min
7/13/2026, 5:24:01 AM33 trades$2,9910 min
8/15/2025, 4:55:02 PM7 trades$2,4242 min
4/10/2026, 6:59:29 PM80 trades$2,3000 min
6/6/2026, 2:14:13 AM54 trades$2,0190 min
2/19/2026, 4:21:36 PM28 trades$1,8420 min
2/20/2026, 1:23:14 PM17 trades$1,5564 min
6/10/2026, 11:31:31 PM20 trades$1,5410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
07-13
08-06
11-25
04-14
06-06
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.2 / M30.4 / H58.4