CityJay

@CityJay

#2,955,82417

0x654716c3f1d98e152365627538f3e60668d082b3

~24d· 56 markets · 257 tradesVol: $81,938 @_Stophu2026-08-05 17:24:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (23/54)6.3/20
0.36x (win $2,485 / loss $6,955)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3970/15
Sortino -5.8270/10
$-0.2849 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 673 (54 markets)9.1/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 5795% of peak ($4,643 / $80)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,621,458$-1,440Vol: $38,292
📈 ECONOMICS#677,418$-642Vol: $19,343
💰 FINANCE#5,852$612Vol: $11,947
CRYPTO#1,519,078$-162Vol: $6,141
SPORTS#1,732,019$-181Vol: $3,643
📢 MENTIONS#108,318$-4Vol: $160
🎭 CULTURE#167,834$1Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,276
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,938
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
90B / 167S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,276
Vol: $81,938

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
23W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-1,276
Win Rate
43%
23W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$108
Avg Loss
$-240

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,759 (1.3788439233879817% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$1,147
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?$469
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$144
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$138
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$130
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?$95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$93
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$50
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$45
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$43

Top Losers

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$-2,315
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-2,000
US forces enter Iran by March 7?$-952
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-376
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)$-258
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-217
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$-139
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-132
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$-111
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.276
Sortino
-0.278
HHI
716
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.276
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
49.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1815s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.06
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)44.4%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 2:47:06 PM24 trades$2,2090 min
6/17/2026, 8:38:13 PM8 trades$2,1130 min
6/14/2026, 3:16:01 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/16/2026, 7:48:56 PM16 trades$1,9042 min
6/16/2026, 8:10:53 PM2 trades$1,8930 min
6/16/2026, 8:20:27 AM16 trades$1,8693 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:28 PM3 trades$1,6860 min
7/14/2026, 11:23:34 AM2 trades$1,2820 min
6/15/2026, 11:55:00 AM20 trades$1,1180 min
7/8/2026, 11:44:49 AM2 trades$1,0700 min
6/14/2026, 11:46:51 AM5 trades$1,0220 min
6/13/2026, 3:17:39 PM14 trades$9480 min
3/4/2026, 5:59:11 AM2 trades$5750 min
7/20/2026, 6:24:43 AM6 trades$5510 min
2/28/2026, 9:27:33 PM2 trades$5483 min
3/5/2026, 10:06:19 AM1 trades$5440 min
3/1/2026, 6:08:35 AM1 trades$5380 min
6/16/2026, 2:10:19 PM3 trades$4700 min
3/3/2026, 8:00:33 PM3 trades$4442 min
3/3/2026, 2:38:41 PM1 trades$4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-03
03-08
03-11
03-18
06-15
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 134 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.2 / M23.3 / H44.4