Citywhale

@Citywhale

#3,036,92312

0xa87b7cb5075bbfe79ba33257a5021705bd24968b

~281d· 1680 markets · 3241 tradesVol: $173,219 @cityboy_idea2026-08-05 00:38:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (410/1679)0/20
0.74x (win $13,574 / loss $18,251)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7310/15
Sortino -5.5210/10
$-0.1768 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 82 (1679 markets)10/10
102/276 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 3842% of peak ($4,869 / $127)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
94% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,865,805$-3,265Vol: $120,120
🏛️ POLITICS#1,504,507$-83Vol: $25,751
CRYPTO#1,598,707$-596Vol: $22,978
📈 ECONOMICS#658,293$-95Vol: $1,580
🌤️ WEATHER#261,769$-21Vol: $1,197
🎭 CULTURE#701,978$-13Vol: $925
💰 FINANCE#620,271$-53Vol: $420
📢 MENTIONS#111,083$-4Vol: $64

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,143
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$173,219
Total Redeem
$309
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1680
total markets
Trades
2059B / 1182S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~281d

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $128
Week
$-6
Vol: $950
Month
$-33
Vol: $1,617
All Time
$-4,143
Vol: $173,219

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
410W / 1268L events
Realized PnL
$-4,142
Win Rate
24%
410W / 1268L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $613 (0.1480183891171968% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?$270
FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5$172
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5$171
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$159
FC Arouca vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5$151
Grêmio FBPA vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5$138
Ceramica Cleopatra Club vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: O/U 3.5$129
Estoril Praia vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5$108
SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5$97
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-12-11?$94

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$-151
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5$-110
Ethereum Up or Down on August 19?$-90
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 4.5$-83
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5$-70
Adelaide United FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5$-68
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$-63
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?$-63
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-60
Ethereum Up or Down on December 13?$-58

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.247
Sortino
-0.336
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.176
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1246s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal4.5 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.96
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.8%
Mid (20-55c)69.9%
High (>55c)6.3%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 8:24:40 PM2 trades$2,0500 min
8/22/2025, 4:45:50 PM1 trades$3710 min
12/11/2025, 7:29:03 PM1 trades$2040 min
7/3/2026, 3:52:32 AM5 trades$1900 min
4/12/2026, 4:26:29 PM3 trades$1680 min
8/27/2025, 9:05:19 AM1 trades$1640 min
2/14/2026, 8:05:11 PM10 trades$16023 min
12/10/2025, 7:30:26 PM4 trades$1458 min
2/13/2026, 2:36:35 PM4 trades$1432 min
12/14/2025, 2:35:31 PM4 trades$1364 min
7/21/2026, 9:35:33 AM8 trades$1282 min
4/4/2026, 4:59:07 PM5 trades$1282 min
4/9/2026, 7:10:09 PM2 trades$1250 min
1/4/2026, 8:45:19 AM3 trades$1243 min
4/4/2026, 9:45:37 PM6 trades$1232 min
4/1/2026, 4:17:35 PM9 trades$1223 min
7/18/2026, 9:02:37 PM4 trades$1210 min
4/3/2026, 4:58:03 PM5 trades$1211 min
6/26/2026, 9:07:46 PM7 trades$1204 min
1/17/2026, 2:34:00 PM4 trades$1205 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-29
11-03
12-20
02-08
03-30
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 344 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.96/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.8 / M69.9 / H6.3