@CobaltHorizon

#2,500,19539

0x899c68a00daf1543ed4cd26020c82b40cbab567d

~20d· 22 markets · 47 tradesVol: $1,8722026-08-04 21:50:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (19/22)20/20
0.05x (win $5 / loss $94)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2600/15
Sortino -4.1590/10
$-0.0522 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 720 (22 markets)8.9/10
16/19 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 2580% of peak ($94 / $4)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Consistent
16/19 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#94,694$3Vol: $626
₿ CRYPTO#432,287$1Vol: $448
🏛️ POLITICS#387,430$0Vol: $405
🌤️ WEATHER#283,910$-91Vol: $359
💻 TECH#39,948$1Vol: $34

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-86
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,872
Total Redeem
$127
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
27B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-86
Vol: $1,872

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
19W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-86
Win Rate
86%
19W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.027793929526689153% of PnL)

Top Winners

Grok 4.20 released by April 20?$1
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?$1
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$0
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of March?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6?$0
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?$0
Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?$0
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$0

Top Losers

Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$-94

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.217
Sortino
-4690.000
HHI
714
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.3%
Top-5 markets
49.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.7h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20198s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
3/6/2026, 7:30:23 AM1 trades$2100 min
4/9/2026, 1:42:37 AM6 trades$1861 min
2/21/2026, 6:25:16 AM1 trades$1610 min
3/21/2026, 5:18:09 AM1 trades$1600 min
2/14/2026, 8:58:13 AM3 trades$1603 min
5/13/2026, 10:01:48 AM2 trades$1310 min
6/2/2026, 9:05:44 AM3 trades$1010 min
5/11/2026, 1:44:04 AM2 trades$900 min
4/15/2026, 9:05:34 AM5 trades$900 min
4/6/2026, 7:25:23 AM2 trades$750 min
4/10/2026, 1:56:55 PM1 trades$730 min
5/7/2026, 6:27:18 AM2 trades$670 min
4/18/2026, 1:32:36 PM2 trades$670 min
2/25/2026, 1:42:10 AM1 trades$560 min
3/29/2026, 4:06:16 AM1 trades$510 min
4/1/2026, 12:41:03 PM1 trades$460 min
3/9/2026, 6:58:21 AM1 trades$390 min
2/15/2026, 1:27:15 AM1 trades$340 min
2/15/2026, 8:39:05 AM1 trades$320 min
6/15/2026, 3:18:51 AM2 trades$280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
02-25
03-21
04-06
04-18
05-13
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100