ColdW

@ColdW

#98773

0x27653cd5aab78f00563f50a03c12504a9b877ee4

~678d· 6532 markets · 45043 tradesVol: $14,552,0672026-08-04 15:06:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (4367/6532)18.4/20
1.16x (win $1,146,180 / loss $985,230)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.52115/15
Sortino 2.32710/10
$+0.0224 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 11 (6532 markets)10/10
294/500 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($54,033 / $149,688)6.8/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+207,388
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Whale
$7,180,131 invested
High Roller
$9,849/day
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,217$58,543Vol: $5,234,900
🌤️ WEATHER#13,654$29Vol: $84,688
CRYPTO#120,341$58Vol: $45,018
🎭 CULTURE#814,923$-1,687Vol: $34,930
💻 TECH#944$1,726Vol: $3,835
🏛️ POLITICS#81,721$62Vol: $1,364
📈 ECONOMICS#555,699$-4Vol: $250
💰 FINANCE#504,243$-2Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$207,388
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,552,067
Total Redeem
$547,042
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6532
total markets
Trades
37231B / 7812S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~678d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $49
Week
$287
Vol: $22,182
Month
$-5,373
Vol: $54,240
All Time
$207,388
Vol: $14,552,067

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
4367W / 2165L events
Realized PnL
$207,388
Win Rate
67%
4367W / 2165L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$262
Avg Loss
$-474

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,695 (0.21069022691505293% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$16,550
UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasa$16,050
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$11,095
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)$11,018
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$10,666
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$9,248
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,559
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming$7,806
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner$7,545
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,290

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-39,992
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$-14,814
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$-13,143
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$-10,581
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-9,926
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 Winner$-9,850
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$-9,365
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-9,065
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?$-8,961
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner$-8,325

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.080
Sortino
0.093
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
2.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
61.8
Very active
Markets / Day
9.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 4.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock62 trades/day — mass trading9.0 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)49.4%

Sessions

#12
10/13/2025, 11:24:25 AM8 trades$42,99319 min
10/13/2025, 9:26:51 AM4 trades$42,33010 min
10/30/2025, 10:57:57 AM12 trades$32,2134 min
5/13/2026, 4:39:57 PM61 trades$31,15614 min
12/2/2025, 11:16:41 PM8 trades$30,17411 min
1/18/2026, 11:25:36 PM5 trades$29,9843 min
3/27/2026, 9:18:59 PM2 trades$29,9730 min
6/20/2026, 10:08:40 PM35 trades$29,9700 min
12/18/2025, 10:01:07 PM17 trades$28,11918 min
11/17/2025, 9:52:47 PM62 trades$27,97237 min
12/9/2025, 7:11:50 PM24 trades$27,39112 min
7/3/2026, 10:12:38 AM19 trades$25,5355 min
1/18/2026, 9:15:56 PM12 trades$24,9546 min
3/24/2026, 8:25:47 PM29 trades$24,76213 min
11/28/2025, 10:05:27 PM15 trades$24,36527 min
10/19/2025, 1:17:51 PM5 trades$24,0874 min
6/12/2026, 5:26:55 PM25 trades$23,90810 min
1/10/2026, 12:26:02 PM12 trades$23,6628 min
1/10/2026, 12:09:56 PM7 trades$23,2121 min
6/11/2026, 12:55:51 PM59 trades$22,32817 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
04-26
07-18
10-09
12-31
03-24
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.9 / M27.8 / H49.4