@Constitu…sire

#10,12734

0x8c185480f8ef50a2a1219a5aab788034c6ee5079

~27d· 42 markets · 308 tradesVol: $144,1882026-08-06 07:08:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (18/29)16/20
0.62x (win $148 / loss $240)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0010/15
Sortino -3.1960/10
$-0.0030 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 979 (29 markets)7.6/10
10/12 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 1828% of peak ($159 / $9)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+15,200
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Consistent
10/12 profitable days

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#2,706$15,212Vol: $137,384
🌤️ WEATHER#265,498$-25Vol: $5,444
💻 TECH#36,904$2Vol: $669
📈 ECONOMICS#620,191$-17Vol: $416
SPORTS#208,381$27Vol: $164
🎭 CULTURE#153,896$1Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,200
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,188
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
144B / 164S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
18W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$15,200
Win Rate
62%
18W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $116 (0.007657970308917522% of PnL)

Top Winners

US government shutdown Saturday?$62
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$40
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$15
Seahawks vs. Patriots$10
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$8
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$4
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$2
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$1
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$1

Top Losers

Will the US strike Iran next?$-119
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-40
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$-23
Canada recession before 2027?$-18
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$-15
Will a hurricane form by May 31?$-11
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-9
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-2
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$-2
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.074
HHI
2
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
2.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 5.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.2%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)24.3%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 9:27:01 PM40 trades$22,2330 min
7/20/2026, 9:45:42 PM30 trades$19,0720 min
7/21/2026, 9:39:28 AM22 trades$5,0430 min
4/3/2026, 12:05:03 AM42 trades$2,2800 min
4/18/2026, 10:11:52 AM27 trades$1,8940 min
3/30/2026, 7:02:57 PM1 trades$1,5450 min
4/13/2026, 4:55:43 PM28 trades$7331 min
3/23/2026, 12:07:45 PM1 trades$7110 min
1/19/2026, 4:04:54 PM1 trades$5280 min
3/18/2026, 4:41:33 PM1 trades$3570 min
2/3/2026, 4:09:16 PM2 trades$2494 min
3/15/2026, 3:23:13 AM1 trades$2460 min
1/24/2026, 3:18:16 PM3 trades$2045 min
1/25/2026, 12:25:26 PM2 trades$1881 min
1/19/2026, 4:31:38 PM3 trades$1754 min
4/7/2026, 3:07:19 PM3 trades$1670 min
1/24/2026, 4:15:00 PM2 trades$1642 min
1/26/2026, 2:49:49 PM4 trades$1427 min
1/28/2026, 3:32:58 PM2 trades$1410 min
1/29/2026, 6:19:30 PM2 trades$1320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
01-25
01-29
01-31
02-03
02-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.2 / M12.5 / H24.3