@Cracotte461

#2,824,01647

0x208a288424b753d4e99d46641f2039a879a3441e

~31d· 59 markets · 205 tradesVol: $127,4932026-08-05 02:38:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (21/59)2.8/20
1.07x (win $25,585 / loss $23,806)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.69713.1/15
Sortino 1.33210/10
$+0.0532 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 464 (59 markets)10/10
15/29 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 90% of peak ($6,851 / $7,600)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
79% entries < $0.55

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,787,097$-409Vol: $127,493

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-409
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$127,493
Total Redeem
$7,791
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
85B / 120S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
21W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-409
Win Rate
36%
21W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$1,218
Avg Loss
$-721

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,767 (26.35062042634426% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7,173
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$1,922
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5$1,672
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$1,498
Pistons vs. Magic$1,439
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$1,193
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$1,041
Lakers vs. Rockets$1,013
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5$1,000
Knicks vs. Rockets$1,000

Top Losers

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$-1,400
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$-1,302
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$-1,080
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$-1,000
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5$-1,000
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5$-1,000
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5$-1,000
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$-1,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$-1,000
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5$-1,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.088
HHI
559
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19%
Top-5 markets
35.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5078s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)75.3%
High (>55c)21.2%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 7:33:22 PM2 trades$4,3580 min
4/24/2026, 8:28:40 PM10 trades$3,7011 min
5/3/2026, 4:56:44 PM5 trades$3,5130 min
7/26/2026, 2:22:00 PM2 trades$3,0400 min
6/2/2026, 3:00:15 PM2 trades$2,7930 min
4/30/2026, 9:13:52 PM6 trades$2,6000 min
4/29/2026, 7:31:32 PM5 trades$2,2700 min
6/26/2026, 6:58:01 PM8 trades$2,2650 min
4/27/2026, 9:22:54 PM6 trades$2,2402 min
4/26/2026, 10:55:44 PM7 trades$2,1990 min
6/24/2026, 10:15:10 PM4 trades$1,7490 min
4/25/2026, 12:32:02 AM5 trades$1,7450 min
6/20/2026, 9:22:02 PM5 trades$1,6590 min
4/28/2026, 1:43:06 AM2 trades$1,5960 min
5/1/2026, 1:40:20 AM4 trades$1,4390 min
6/14/2026, 3:04:33 PM4 trades$1,2960 min
6/14/2026, 12:43:46 PM2 trades$1,2500 min
6/11/2026, 7:06:27 PM2 trades$1,2200 min
4/28/2026, 5:04:50 PM2 trades$1,2000 min
4/29/2026, 6:44:18 PM5 trades$1,1630 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-24
04-28
05-03
06-15
06-24
06-29
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.71/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.5 / M75.3 / H21.2