@CypherCapital

#51665

0xffa6b3c90514d7b861c87d7e51cc35fff34530fe

~5d· 3 markets · 497 tradesVol: $1,447,499 @HarsAgarwal2026-08-04 14:06:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

100% (3/3)20/20
99.00x (win $440,311 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+4.9811 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 4096 (3 markets)0/10
1/1 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $440,311)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+405,371
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
10% sells
Whale
$88,396 invested
Consistent
1/1 profitable days
High Roller
$11,050/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#128$405,330Vol: $1,447,299
CRYPTO#138,339$41Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$405,371
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,447,499
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3
total markets
Trades
448B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
100%
3W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$405,371
Win Rate
100%
3W / 0L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$146,770
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $440,311 (1.0861927753992864% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$220,597
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$182,435
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$37,279

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
3799
Concentrated
EV per $1
$4.981
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
47.7%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
62.1
Very active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 5.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule62 trades/day — mass trading0.4 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
165.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.5%
Mid (20-55c)7.8%
High (>55c)0.7%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 1:08:09 AM20 trades$483,9605 min
4/1/2026, 9:28:45 AM133 trades$64,87835 min
4/1/2026, 10:09:21 AM27 trades$17,08522 min
4/1/2026, 9:16:25 AM4 trades$9,6560 min
4/2/2026, 1:12:13 AM89 trades$8,4499 min
4/7/2026, 11:52:03 AM1 trades$8,1000 min
4/6/2026, 1:55:45 AM14 trades$7,7604 min
4/1/2026, 11:27:35 AM16 trades$5,55017 min
4/1/2026, 2:07:31 PM55 trades$2,42040 min
4/1/2026, 12:11:05 PM14 trades$1,62220 min
4/1/2026, 4:12:15 PM26 trades$6408 min
4/1/2026, 6:33:43 PM23 trades$57222 min
4/1/2026, 7:02:23 PM7 trades$5046 min
4/1/2026, 11:56:45 AM4 trades$1944 min
4/1/2026, 5:46:21 PM14 trades$17918 min
4/1/2026, 10:14:07 PM14 trades$16813 min
4/1/2026, 7:21:35 PM10 trades$11818 min
4/1/2026, 6:21:15 PM4 trades$456 min
4/1/2026, 5:34:41 PM2 trades$222 min
4/1/2026, 5:21:45 PM7 trades$197 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 165.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.5 / M7.8 / H0.7