DanBolla33

@DanBolla33

#35,97386

0x49341db98d00c870dc2925d36a32369cfe376d71

~309d· 1086 markets · 3903 tradesVol: $382,1352026-08-04 17:18:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (716/953)20/20
1.73x (win $14,154 / loss $8,185)11.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.78115/15
Sortino 3.99710/10
$+0.0333 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 187 (953 markets)10/10
182/242 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($1,804 / $6,056)8/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+3,225
Whale
$179,190 invested
Consistent
182/242 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 30%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#15,639$1,243Vol: $166,107
CRYPTO#21,663$1,832Vol: $140,176
🌤️ WEATHER#6,353$123Vol: $30,073
🎭 CULTURE#766,554$-59Vol: $13,950
SPORTS#131,550$85Vol: $12,863
📈 ECONOMICS#669,056$-205Vol: $8,455
💰 FINANCE#14,827$145Vol: $6,854
💻 TECH#8,716$48Vol: $1,864
📢 MENTIONS#42,942$1Vol: $1,737

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,214
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$382,135
Total Redeem
$1,192
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1086
total markets
Trades
2461B / 1442S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~309d

Periods

#2
Today
$-85
Vol: $468
Week
$-5
Vol: $3,654
Month
$-10
Vol: $4,392
All Time
$3,214
Vol: $382,135

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
716W / 237L events
Realized PnL
$3,225
Win Rate
75%
716W / 237L
Profit Factor
1.73x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-42

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,162 (1.290702722818334% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2,020
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,092
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$1,050
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$636
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$469
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$462
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$415
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?$354
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$259
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$257

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,188
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-668
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-589
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-527
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-379
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-324
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-247
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-230
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-218
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-204

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.093
Sortino
0.113
HHI
159
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
14.4%
Half-Kelly
7.2%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
20.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 677s — normal for humanCV 3.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active2.8 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.9%
High (>55c)86.9%

Sessions

#12
8/18/2025, 8:54:46 AM2 trades$6,4770 min
9/2/2025, 3:22:16 PM1 trades$5,4910 min
9/4/2025, 9:03:08 AM1 trades$5,4280 min
7/18/2025, 2:30:00 PM3 trades$5,1403 min
7/23/2025, 10:27:45 AM3 trades$4,7015 min
9/15/2025, 7:42:10 AM1 trades$4,6220 min
7/23/2025, 11:06:29 AM2 trades$4,5961 min
9/16/2025, 11:44:04 AM1 trades$4,5790 min
10/11/2025, 8:30:58 AM1 trades$4,3030 min
10/1/2025, 11:05:55 AM1 trades$4,2590 min
8/5/2025, 10:56:06 AM1 trades$3,8180 min
8/3/2025, 8:53:22 AM1 trades$3,7540 min
8/2/2025, 7:46:12 PM1 trades$3,7540 min
8/2/2025, 7:32:34 AM2 trades$3,7140 min
8/2/2025, 8:31:30 AM1 trades$3,7140 min
8/24/2025, 6:56:37 AM2 trades$3,6153 min
8/6/2025, 1:44:46 AM1 trades$2,4180 min
12/31/2025, 11:33:57 AM1 trades$2,3230 min
8/1/2025, 7:52:24 AM1 trades$2,2890 min
5/4/2026, 3:47:00 PM6 trades$2,1560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-23
11-21
01-07
02-22
04-10
06-06
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M8.9 / H86.9