Decentralised

@Decentralised

#135,92635

0xf4ee04dbcb66425b8090346a2ea4ceff5277e1ac

~175d· 406 markets · 1726 tradesVol: $124,581 @xdecentralised2026-08-04 17:35:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (249/392)16.8/20
0.71x (win $6,418 / loss $9,063)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3330/15
Sortino -1.4310/10
$-0.0746 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 270 (392 markets)10/10
86/138 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 1294% of peak ($3,040 / $235)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+348
Consistent
86/138 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,591,715$-424Vol: $45,489
🌤️ WEATHER#2,593$497Vol: $33,492
CRYPTO#1,564,107$-301Vol: $20,776
SPORTS#1,240,124$-6Vol: $12,309
💰 FINANCE#5,133$751Vol: $8,464
📈 ECONOMICS#12,898$94Vol: $1,521
🎭 CULTURE#765,116$-56Vol: $1,348
💻 TECH#253,221$-208Vol: $1,181

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$348
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$124,581
Total Redeem
$1,152
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
406
total markets
Trades
1028B / 698S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~175d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $536
Month
$-38
Vol: $947
All Time
$348
Vol: $124,581

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
249W / 143L events
Realized PnL
$348
Win Rate
64%
249W / 143L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,477 (4.238674857897457% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$822
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 3?$393
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?$262
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$257
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$208
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14?$176
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$163
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?$156
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$124
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?$122

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,804
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?$-717
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-400
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?$-349
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-336
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 5?$-254
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?$-246
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-224
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$-200
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$-182

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
286
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
29.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 735s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.61
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)65.8%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 7:02:09 PM18 trades$2,26811 min
6/16/2026, 2:42:29 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/3/2026, 12:42:52 PM50 trades$88212 min
3/3/2026, 8:26:17 AM2 trades$8461 min
6/13/2026, 5:20:21 PM7 trades$7225 min
6/20/2026, 1:43:07 PM31 trades$64014 min
5/4/2026, 12:43:54 PM36 trades$6012 min
1/30/2026, 2:15:20 PM3 trades$5921 min
5/16/2026, 8:00:20 AM8 trades$5123 min
6/14/2026, 9:21:24 AM11 trades$4545 min
5/2/2026, 3:31:22 PM5 trades$4256 min
5/4/2026, 2:16:20 PM27 trades$40412 min
6/14/2026, 7:59:24 AM16 trades$40213 min
5/29/2026, 7:53:12 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/3/2026, 7:20:00 AM2 trades$3980 min
5/31/2026, 12:02:36 PM2 trades$3940 min
2/1/2026, 3:25:38 PM1 trades$3830 min
5/10/2026, 1:11:30 PM8 trades$3760 min
6/21/2026, 6:29:37 AM13 trades$3729 min
5/4/2026, 12:54:28 PM28 trades$36711 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-02
02-17
03-29
05-03
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M18.6 / H65.8