@DefinitelyDefi
#106,176290x044c0b091b0e94d6dd070e8378fac7cbc80f6987
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (33/60)12.5/20
0.57x (win $3,558 / loss $6,202)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9730/15
Sortino -3.4410/10
$-0.1121 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 369 (60 markets)10/10
21/37 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 240% of peak ($4,529 / $1,884)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+604
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#24,292$611Vol: $108,316
📈 ECONOMICS#646,087$-46Vol: $4,159
🎭 CULTURE#62,153$12Vol: $359
📢 MENTIONS#9,438$47Vol: $341
💻 TECH#236,131$-20Vol: $73
Overview
#1Net PnL
$604
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$113,249
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
311B / 307S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
33W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$604
Win Rate
55%
33W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$108
Avg Loss
$-230
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,199 (3.640714001854551% of PnL)
Top Winners
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$1,090
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$827
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$281
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?$231
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$224
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$221
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$127
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?$82
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$76
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$68
Top Losers
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$-1,449
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-1,063
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-749
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-734
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-350
Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?$-346
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-283
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$-281
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-227
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-173
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.153
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
430
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.102
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
34%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 364s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.38
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.8%
Mid (20-55c)30.2%
High (>55c)46%
Sessions
#125/5/2026, 10:24:24 AM6 trades$1,4741 min
2/1/2026, 5:58:30 PM35 trades$1,1936 min
1/16/2026, 5:04:22 AM3 trades$1,1292 min
1/15/2026, 2:53:30 PM2 trades$1,1181 min
1/11/2026, 3:18:14 AM2 trades$9951 min
5/3/2026, 5:23:30 PM7 trades$9941 min
5/23/2026, 6:55:25 PM13 trades$9461 min
1/4/2026, 10:46:23 PM1 trades$9150 min
2/3/2026, 7:03:00 PM1 trades$9070 min
12/26/2025, 12:07:17 PM3 trades$8362 min
1/11/2026, 3:10:02 AM5 trades$7981 min
1/10/2026, 7:59:18 PM1 trades$7980 min
5/16/2026, 8:43:45 PM9 trades$7801 min
1/1/2026, 4:02:25 PM1 trades$6930 min
1/3/2026, 6:09:41 PM1 trades$6930 min
1/6/2026, 9:10:23 AM2 trades$6831 min
2/4/2026, 5:38:41 PM3 trades$6536 min
1/28/2026, 7:43:06 PM1 trades$6520 min
1/29/2026, 4:23:58 PM4 trades$6452 min
2/3/2026, 8:50:08 AM1 trades$6280 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-27
01-15
02-02
02-23
04-25
05-05
06-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.8 / M30.2 / H46